NBA Prop Bets
It’s Wednesday once again, so we’re back with another big slate of NBA matchups, and after last week’s clean sweep, we’re looking to continue our fine stretch of 11-2 since we started. As always, with the help from our friends over at FantasyData, we’ll look to find the edge in some of the matchups ahead.
Last Week’s Article Recap
Last Wednesday’s article went 4 for 4 on picks (you can read it here), which bumped my overall record to 11-2 as mentioned. Not every week will go this smoothly, so I would recommend not throwing all the picks in a parlay, however, thank you for all the kind words and shoutouts on Twitter and in our comment section for those who won big last week.
Let’s keep the streak alive tonight!
Domantas Sabonis over 12.5 rebounds (-135)
The Sacramento Kings (28-21) continue on their travels to the San Antonio Spurs (14-37) as the largely favored team (-7.5) and look to make it back-to-back wins, whilst the Spurs look to break their 6-game losing streak. Sabonis currently leads the league in total rebounds per game (12.36) and should dominate around the basket further against a Spurs team that ranks 22nd in defensive rebounds allowed per game (35.3) and also in their last 3 have posted a shooting percentage of 44.1%. Expect him to have another high-impact night like their last meeting in San Antonio where Sabonis hit 18 rebounds on the night, which he may not hit tonight, but the projection tool has him at 12.67 rebounds.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 37.5 points + assists (-125)
Oklahoma City Thunder (24-26) are also heading to Texas as they face off against the lackluster Houston Rockets (12-38), with OKC starting off as the favored team (-5.5). Gilgeous-Alexander has been impressive in an average OKC side this year averaging 30.9 points per game and 6.19 assists per game as well. SGA has hit this total in his last 5 straight, and in his last 10 games has been shooting 55% from the field. Coming up against a Houston team ranking 19th in assists allowed per game (26.3) and 24th in points allowed per game (117.1) he should stay active around the paint in a game that should stay competitive throughout.
Nic Claxton over 11.5 rebounds (+105)
In the third meeting already between the 2 teams, the injury-hit Brooklyn Nets (31-19) travel to Massachusetts to face the Boston Celtics (35-15) to try and get their first win in the head-to-head this year. The Celtic are heavily favored (-8.5) in this one, with the continued absence of Kevin Durant & Ben Simmons factoring in for sure. Claxton has stepped up in their absence and has hit 11+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 and leads the team this season with 420. Without the aforementioned KD & Simmons who rank 2nd and 3rd respectively in rebounds, Claxton should continue to stay on the court and be very active against a Celtics team that ranks 3rd in 3-pointers attempted per game (39.3), but only 20th in 3-pointers made (33.1%) and as a result are 29th in defensive rebounds allowed per game (37.7). In the last 3 games, the Celtics also rank dead last in shooting percentage (43.1%), so I can see Claxton having a productive night tonight.
Draymond Green over 15.5 rebounds + assists (-120)
Draymond Green was good to us last week as we touted him as a smash, I won’t go this far tonight but his consistency has been key here. Golden State (26-24) travels to Minnesota to face the Timberwolves (27-26) in what should be a hotly contested matchup, with GSW (-3.5) opening as slight favorites. Green has been an ever-present in the Warriors team and has hit the over in 5 of his last 6. Once again, poor 3-point production gives me hope for plenty of Green rebounds tonight as the Timberwolves rank 7th in 3-point shots per game (37) but rank just 19th in completion (37.8%), and also sit at 26th in total rebounds allowed per game (53.7). In a very competitive game, look for Green to supply Steph Curry & Klay Thompson with plenty of opportunities whilst also cleaning up some poor Minnesota offense.
I’m David, 28, originally from England but now married and living in Texas. Originally studied English Literature at Liverpool Hope University, alongside Sport & Education. Having been an avid sports fan my entire life, I had a season ticket at Everton FC in the EPL for 17 years. Since moving here I’ve become a Kansas City Chiefs fan after Kelce won me my Fantasy League on my first-ever try. Love watching the games whether it be college on Saturdays or the NFL throughout the week. You’ll always find me with a bet or two on as well. 1 leg losses are my Kryptonite.