NBA Bets Tuesday

NBA Bets Tuesday

Today’s NBA slate of action includes six games. Right now, the Lakers are the largest favorite of the day as -11 point favorites over the Pistons. On the other end, the closest point spread belongs to a matchup between the Thunder and Magic, with the Thunder coming in as -2.5 point favorites. Looking at the betting lines, 3 of the 6 games of the games have the home teams as the favorite while the road teams are favored in 3 of the 6 games.

Best Bets

Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Bucks: -8 | Over/Under: 225.5

On the season, the Bucks are 35-19 and 8-point favorites over the Heat. As for the Heat, they are 28-25 and are 8-point underdogs. This game can be watched on BSW.

In today’s matchup with the Bucks, the BAKER model is projecting Tyler Herro to score 20 points. For the season, he is averaging 21 points per game. Bam Adebayo is also expected to score 18 points. On the other side, Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.8 points per game and is projected to finish with 31 points today. He has a field goal percentage of 61.1% and a true shooting percentage of 64.8% for the season.

In terms of shooting, the Heat are projected to connect on 11 of their 30 three-point attempts, while their overall shooting percentage is expected to be 46.2%. As for the Bucks, the BAKER model has them attempting 28 free throws and converting on 21 of them. From the field, they are expected to go 45/92 for 48.9%.

Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler (Out) Personal
  • Josh Richardson (Out) Shoulder
  • Terry Rozier (Out) Right Knee
  • Duncan Robinson (Questionable) Elbow, Shoulder
  • Dru Smith (Out) Knee

Bucks Injury Report

  • Khris Middleton (Out) Ankle

BAKER Prediction: Bucks 125 – Heat 97

Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns

Suns: -5 | Over/Under: 245

In a Pacific Division matchup, the Suns will be aiming to secure a win against the Suns. The Suns are currently favored by 5. This game can be seen on TNT and is set to tip-off at 10:00 ET.

De’Aaron Fox is projected to score 25 points on 9/20 shooting in today’s game against the Suns. Domantas Sabonis is averaging 19.9 points per game and is projected to finish with 20 points today. As for the Suns, Kevin Durant is averaging 28.3 points per game and is projected to finish with 27 points. He has a season-long field goal percentage of 53.5% and a true shooting percentage of 64.5%.

In terms of three-point shooting, the Kings are projected to go 15/41 from beyond the arc. Their overall field goal percentage for the game is expected to be 47.9%. As for the Suns, the BAKER model has them finishing with 6 blocks and 8 steals on the defensive end. Their projected field goal percentage for the game is 48.1%.

Kings Injury Report

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Out) Ankle
  • Chris Duarte (Questionable) Ankle

Suns Injury Report

  • Damion Lee (Out) Knee

BAKER Prediction: Suns 141 – Kings 122

Detroit Pistons vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Lakers: -11 | Over/Under: 238

The Lakers and Pistons are set to tip off at 10:30 ET, with the Lakers favored by 11 at home. Both teams are looking to play at a fast pace, and the over/under is set at 238 points.

In today’s Pistons vs. Lakers matchup, Cade Cunningham’s projected stat line includes 21 points on 8/18 shooting. Jaden Ivey is averaging 15.5 points per game and projected to finish with 15 points. When playing at home, LeBron James has been scoring 22.5 points on 51.9% shooting. Look for him to score 24 points on 50.0% shooting today.

From the perimeter, the Pistons are expected to go 9/27 and finish with a field goal percentage of 46.8%. Meanwhile, the Lakers are projected to shoot 36.7% from the three-point line and make 55.2% of their 58 two-point attempts against the Pistons.

Pistons Injury Report

  • Isaiah Stewart (Out) Ankle
  • Quentin Grimes (Out) Knee

Lakers Injury Report

  • Anthony Davis (Questionable) Achilles/Hip
  • LeBron James (Questionable) Ankle
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Out) Foot
  • Gabe Vincent (Out) Knee
  • Cam Reddish (Out) Ankle
  • Max Christie (Out) Ankle

BAKER Prediction: Lakers 117 – Pistons 94

Boston Celtics vs. Brooklyn Nets

Celtics: -8.5 | Over/Under: 227.5

The Nets have a record of 21-31 and have played their last four games at home. On the other side, the Celtics are 41-12 and are favored by 8.5. This game will be televised on NBCS.

In today’s matchup against the Nets, Jayson Tatum is projected to score 26 points on 9/19 shooting. Jaylen Brown, who averages 22 points per game, is projected to finish with 21 points. On the Nets side, Mikal Bridges is projected to end the game with 32 fantasy points. This includes 21 points and 4 rebounds.

According to our BAKER projections, the Celtics are expected to shoot 48.5% from the field and outrebound the Nets by a margin of 51 to 47. The Nets are projected to make 17 free throws and hit 12 three-pointers while shooting 36.4% from deep.

Celtics Injury Report

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Questionable) Back
  • Xavier Tillman Sr. (Out) Left Knee
  • Jaden Springer (Out) Ankle

Nets Injury Report

  • Cameron Johnson (Out) Adductor
  • Dariq Whitehead (Out) Shin

BAKER Prediction: Celtics 132 – Nets 116

Bets To Avoid

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Timberwolves: -8.5 | Over/Under: 215

As the Timberwolves get set to take on the Trail Blazers today, both teams are known for their slower pace. The Timberwolves are favored by 8.5 on the road and the over/under is set at 215 points.

The BAKER model has Anthony Edwards leading the Timberwolves in scoring with 25 points against the Trail Blazers. Karl-Anthony Towns is projected for 22 points and 39 fantasy points. On the other side, Anfernee Simons is expected to finish with 22 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists. Jerami Grant’s projection of 21 points is just below his season average of 21.9 points per game.

The BAKER prediction model has the Timberwolves shooting 18/24 from the free-throw line and making 13 threes at a rate of 40.6%. On the other side, the BAKER model has the Trail Blazers shooting 17/21 from the free-throw line and going 38/85 from the field (44.7%).

Timberwolves Injury Report

  • Jaylen Clark (Out) Achilles

Trail Blazers Injury Report

  • Malcolm Brogdon (Out) Illness
  • Anfernee Simons (Probable) Ankle
  • Robert Williams III (Out) Knee
  • Duop Reath (Probable) Knee
  • Moses Brown (Out) Wrist
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Out) Abdomen
  • Scoot Henderson (Questionable) Foot

BAKER Prediction: Timberwolves 114 – Trail Blazers 104

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