New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick and Preview
NFC Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Giants +7.5 | Total Points: 48.0
Leading into their Divisional Round matchup against Philadelphia, the Giants have an overall record of 9-7-1. In the Wild Card round, the Giants knocked off the Vikings by a score of 31-24. In addition to winning the game, the Giants picked up an ATS win as they were 2.5-point underdogs. With their combined 55 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 48.
The Eagles will kick off their post-season with an overall record of 14-3. In their final regular season game, the Eagles picked up a game in the NFC East, taking down the Giants by 22-16. Despite the straight-up win, the Eagles did not cover the spread. They went into the matchup as -16.5 point favorites. With an over-under betting line of 42, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 38.
Giants vs. Eagles History
In the last three games between New York and Philadelphia, the Eagles have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 18 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Philadelphia averages 34 points compared to New York at 16. The last three times the Eagles have hosted New York, they have a record of 1-2. In terms of betting, New York holds a contemporary edge vs. the spread, going 3-2 in the previous five meetings. These games have finished with an average point total of 42, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.
New York Giants
- Isaiah Hodgins (Ankle) Questionable
- Azeez Ojulari (Quad) Questionable
- Julian Love (Hamstring) Questionable
- Fabian Moreau (Hip) Questionable
- Adoree’ Jackson (Back) Probable
- Landon Collins (Ankle) Questionable
- Linval Joseph (Calf) Probable
- Brandon Graham (Illness) Questionable
- Robert Quinn (Back) Questionable
- Lane Johnson (Groin) Questionable
- Avonte Maddox (Toe) Questionable
- Brett Toth (Knee) Questionable
Keys To Victory: New York Giants
At 21.5 points per game, the Giants’ offense is ranked 16th in the league. New York comes into the game having accounted for half of the points in their games. Against Philadelphia, look for the Giants’ offense to have a tough time moving the ball through the air. So far, the team’s passing offense is averaging just 185.7 yards per game through the pass. Quarterback Daniel Jones has put together an overall passer rating of 92.5. This figure has led to a passing total of 3205 yards for Jones. Against the Eagles, he will need to be on top of his game vs the league’s 1st ranked passing defense. So far, the team’s top receiving threat has been Darius Slayton, who comes into the game with 724 receiving yards. He has acquired 24.0% of the pass attempts to wide receivers for the season.
On the ground, the Giants should be able to put in yet another strong performance, as they are currently the 4th ranked team in rush yards per game and face off vs a defense that is vulnerable up front. So far, the team’s leading rusher is Saquon Barkley, who is averaging 4.4 yards per attempt. Through 16 games, he has rushed for a total of 1312 yards on the ground.
Keys To Victory: Philadelphia Eagles
Led by quarterback Jalen Hurts, the team’s 3rd-ranked scoring offense will need be on top of their game to cover the spread as 7.5 point betting favorites. Hurts is ranked 13th among quarterbacks in yards per game at 246.7. This figure has come on a completion percentage of 66.5%. In his last game, he finished with a passer rating of 65.1 while throwing for 229 yards. Against the Giants, the team will look to get receiver A.J. Brown involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 8.6 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 1496.
Miles Sanders and the Philadelphia ground attack could be in line for a good game, as the Eagles are 27th in the NFL in rush yards allowed per game. Running back Miles Sanders figures to get a majority of the carries for a unit averaging 147.6 yards per contest in the run game.
- New York is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- New York is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
- New York is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
- New York is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
The spread is too high in this game, in our opinion. The Giants will keep things close or at least surge late, which will wreck the spread. We like the Eagles to win in a close game; take the Giants and the points.