Dallas Cowboys vs Jacksonville Jaguars Pick and Preview
Non-Conference NFL Matchup
Point Spread: Jaguars +4.0 | Total Points: 47.5
In this week 15 non-conference matchup, the Cowboys will be going for their 5th straight win. This hot stretch of play has them sitting with an overall record of 10-3. The Cowboys most recently picked up 4 point victory over the Houston Texans (27-23). Going into the matchup, the Cowboys were -17.0 point favorites and did not cover the spread. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 44 points, which the teams surpassed.
Leading into their week 15 matchup against Dallas, the Jaguars have an overall record of 5-8. Looking back to last week, the Jaguars defeated the Tennessee Titans by a score of 36-22. Not only did the Jaguars win the game, but they also covered the spread 3.5-point underdogs. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 58 points, surpassing the betting line of 41.
Cowboys vs Jaguars History
There were no matchups between Dallas and Jacksonville in the 2021-2022 season. When looking back on the last 3 head-to-head matchups between Jacksonville and Dallas, the Cowboys hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in a convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 10 points.
The last 3 times the Jaguars have hosted Dallas, they have a record of 1-2. In terms of betting, Dallas holds a recent edge vs the spread, going 3-2 in the previous 5 meetings. These games have finished with an average point total of 45, leading to an over-under mark of 5-0.
Notable Injuries
Dallas Cowboys
- Jayron Kearse (Back/shoulder) Questionable
- Tyron Smith (Knee) Questionable
- DeMarcus Lawrence (Foot) Questionable
- Dorance Armstrong (Ankle) Questionable
- Jake Ferguson (Concussion) Questionable
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Darious Williams (Abdomen) Questionable
- Brandon Scherff (Abdomen) Questionable
- Trevor Lawrence (Toe) Questionable
- Andrew Wingard (Shoulder) Questionable
- Chad Muma (Ankle) Questionable
- Travon Walker (Ankle) Questionable
Keys To Victory: Dallas Cowboys
As the Cowboys prepare to take on the Jaguars, quarterback Dak Prescott has the team ranked 20th in passing yards per game and is ranked 28th among quarterbacks in yards through the air. For the season, they are averaging 31.7 attempts per game. Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb is pacing the Cowboys with 961 receiving yards. This week, he is facing the 26th-ranked secondary in terms of yards allowed to wide receivers.
A strength of this year’s Dallas offense is their ability to move the ball on the ground. On the season, the team is ranked 7th in rush yards per game. Look for the team to lean heavily on Ezekiel Elliott, who comes into the game with a total of 716 yards. This season, they have outrushed their opponent in 61.54% of their games. Based on the competition, Dallas is producing at an above-average rate based on the type of defenses they have faced. This year, the team’s opponents are allowing an average of 131.9 yards per game.
Keys To Victory: Jacksonville Jaguars
On offense, the Jaguars come into the game ranked 15th in the NFL at 22.6 points per game. Through 13 games, the Jaguars have made up for half of the scoring in their games. So far, the Jaguars have been one of the best passing units in the NFL, averaging 235.3 yards per game through the air. However, if they are going to maintain their usual level of production, they will need to do so against a Cowboys defense that has been strong against the pass. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has put together a season-long passer rating of 95.4. This figure has led to a passing total of 3202 yards for Lawrence. Against the Cowboys, he will need to be on top of his game vs the league’s 2nd ranked passing defense. So far, the team’s top receiving threat has been Christian Kirk, who comes into the game with 874 receiving yards. For the season, he has been the recipient of 37.0% of the pass attempts to wide receivers.
Through 13 games, the Jaguars’ ground game is producing at a level near the league average at 122.2 yards per game. However, they could be in line for an above-average performance vs a Dallas defense that struggles to defend the run. So far, the team’s leading rusher is Travis Etienne Jr., who is averaging 5.0 yards per attempt. Through 13 games, he has rushed for a total of 814 yards on the ground.
Betting Trends
- Dallas is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
- Dallas is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
- Dallas is 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
Prediction
The Cowboys seem distracted, they’re talking about division rival Jalen Hurts in the media. They nearly lost a close one last week to the Texans, and we feel the Jaguars will sneak up and surprise the Boys this weekend. We like the Jaguars in a high-scoring (Over 47.5) upset.
