Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Pick and Preview

Posted on December 8, 2023

AFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Dolphins -13 | Total Points: 46.5

Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Dolphins, the Titans have a below .500 record at 4-8. In their last outing, the Titans suffered a 31-28 loss to the Colts. The Titans had a 3-point loss, resulting in a defeat on their ATS record. They were 1-point underdogs going into the game. The game had an over/under line of 42 points, and both teams went beyond it, scoring a combined total of 59 points.

Coming into this week 14 AFC matchup, the Dolphins are in the middle of a three game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 9-3. In their most recent matchup, the Dolphins secured a win against the Commanders, with a final score of 45-15. Miami was favored by 9 against the Commanders and notched an ATS victory. The over/under line for their game vs. 49.5 points, which the teams exceeded with a combined 60 points.

Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins History

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Dolphins have the edge in their recent matchups against Tennessee, posting a record of 2-1. In the last three games, Miami is averaging 15 points per game compared to 21 for the Titans.

Across the Titan’s last three road games, the team averaged 12 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Across their last three home contests, Miami has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 31 points per game.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Titans have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Notable Injuries

Tennessee Titans

Joe Jones – Finger (Questionable)
Luke Gifford – Shin (Questionable)
Kristian Fulton – Hamstring (Questionable)
Aaron Brewer – Shoulder (Questionable)
Terrell Edmunds – Shoulder (Probable)
Trevon Wesco – Ankle (Probable)
Will Levis – Ankle (Probable)
TK McLendon Jr. – Toe (Questionable)
Josh Whyle – Knee (Questionable)
Shakel Brown – Ankle (Out)
Jeffery Simmons – Knee (Out)
Chris Hubbard – Biceps (Out)
Derrick Henry – Concussion (Questionable)
Caleb Farley – Back (Out)
Hassan Haskins – Undisclosed (Out)
Nicholas Petit-Frere – Shoulder (Out)
Kearis Jackson – Ankle (Out)
Chance Campbell – Undisclosed (Out)
Julius Chestnut – Hamstring (Out)
Ryan Stonehouse – Knee (Questionable)

Miami Dolphins

Salvon Ahmed – Foot (Out)
Robert Hunt – Hamstring (Questionable)
Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Out)
Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
Jevon Holland – Knee (Questionable)
Robert Jones – Knee (Probable)
Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
Jerome Baker – Knee (Questionable)
Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
Terron Armstead – Ankle (Questionable)
Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
Durham Smythe – Ankle (Questionable)
Alec Ingold – Ankle (Probable)
De’Von Achane – Ribs (Probable)

Keys To Victory: Tennessee Titans

This season, the Tennessee offense has an average of 17.8 points, placing them 22nd in the league. Will Levis has thrown seven touchdowns so far this season, placing him 18th among quarterbacks. His total passing yards of 1266 also ranks him 29th in his position. Even though the Tennessee offense is averaging 4.1 yards per attempt, they are an average unit in overall rushing yards. So far, the Titans are 17th in rushing yards per contest.

Keys To Victory: Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins bring one of the league’s highest-scoring offenses into this week’s game, with an average of 32 points per contest (2nd). This season, Miami’s passing offense is 18th in passing attempts. Their average of 285.1 passing yards per contest, has them 1st in the NFL. A key aspect to the team’s strong offensive play has been their ability to run the ball. This year, the Dolphins are near the top of the league in both attempts and yards per game. Currently, the team is averaging 143.3 yards per game on the ground.

Betting Trends

Through their last five road games, Tennessee has an ATS record of just 0-5. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 11 points per game.
In their last five games at home, the Dolphins have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 26 points per game in these contests.
Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Titans have a straight-up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.