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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts Pick and Preview

Chris Godwin

Non Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Colts -2.5 | Total Points: 44.5

Coming into this week’s non conference matchup vs the Colts, the Buccaneers have a below .500 record at 4-6. After a 27-14 loss to the 49ers, the Buccaneers are looking to get back on track this week. Despite a straight-up loss, the Buccaneers were able to keep things closer than expected, as they were 13.5-point underdogs before kickoff. In the Buccaneers’ most recent game, the under bettors finished with the win as the teams combined for 41 points. The pre-game line was set at 42.

Coming into this week 12 matchup, the Colts are in the middle of a two-game winning streak, helping them get back to .500 (5-5). After a 10-6 victory over the Patriots, the Colts are looking for another win in week 12. Indianapolis was favored by 1.5 against the Patriots and notched an ATS victory. In the matchup with New England, the pre-game over/under line was 42. The under hit, as they combined for 16 points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts History

Over their previous five games against the Colts, the Buccaneers have put together a record of 3-2. Over the last three head-to-head matchups, the Colts have gone 1-1-1 against the spread. When looking at the last three times they have hosted the Buccaneers, the Colts are 2-0-1 ATS.

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Buccaneers offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Tampa Bay posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Indianapolis has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 22 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Tampa Bay has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • The Colts have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Notable Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Chris Godwin – Knee/elbow (Questionable)
  • Devin White – Foot (Questionable)
  • Robert Hainsey – Knee (Questionable)
  • Rakim Jarrett – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Carlton Davis III – Hip (Questionable)
  • Jamel Dean – Ankle/foot (Questionable)
  • Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
  • Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
  • Lavonte David – Groin (Questionable)

Indianapolis Colts

  • Rodney Thomas II – Knee (Probable)
  • Grant Stuard – Illness (Questionable)
  • Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Drew Ogletree – Foot (Questionable)
  • Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
  • Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
  • JuJu Brents – Quadriceps (Questionable)
  • Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
  • Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
  • Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
  • Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
  • Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
  • Grover Stewart – Suspended (Out)
  • Ryan Kelly – Concussion (Probable)

Keys To Victory: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This season, the Tampa Bay offense has an average of 19.2 points, placing them 21st in the league. If the team’s offense is going to continue producing at their current rate of 227.8 passing yards per game, they would benefit from being more efficient with their dropbacks. So far, their completion percentage of 64.4% is below the league average. At 76.9 rushing yards per game, the Buccaneers are currently ranked 31st in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 24.8 time per game, which is 21st.

Keys To Victory: Indianapolis Colts

The Indianapolis offense is currently positioned 8th in the league, scoring an average of 24.2 points per contest. An interesting note heading into the game is the fact that Indianapolis is a below-average unit in passing yards per game. Yet, they have put together one of the better yards per completion figures in the NFL at 10.2 YPC. Per attempt, the Colts are averaging 4.1 yards while carrying the ball an average of 28.6 times per contest. In terms of yardage, they are 10th in the league.

Betting Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Tampa Bay has a 3-0 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Indianapolis has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 20 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Buccaneers have a straight-up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Colts have a straight-up record of 3-6-1 and an ATS mark of 3-7.


  • Indianapolis Colts 23 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
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