Non-Conference NFL Matchups
Point Spread: Texans -3 | Total Points: 40
This week, the Buccaneers will look to snap their current three-game losing streak with a victory over the Texans. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 3-4. In week 9, the Buccaneers will be looking to recover from the 24-18 loss they suffered against the Bills. In spite of losing to Buffalo, the Buccaneers did cover the spread as 10-point underdogs in the game. Going into the game vs. Buffalo, the over/under line was 42.5. With a combined total of 42 points, the under hit in this game.
Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Buccaneers, the Texans have a below .500 record at 3-4. The Last time they played, the Texans were handed a 15-13 loss by the Panthers. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Texans also fell short of covering the spread as 3.5-point favorites. The under bettors were successful in the Texans’ most recent game, with a combined total of 28 points. The game’s betting line was 43.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans History
In the last three games between Tampa Bay and Houston, the Texans have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 14 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Houston is averaging 26 points compared to Tampa Bay at 12.
- Tampa Bay has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a strong record vs the spread, going 3-2. Their straight-up mark in these contests is 2-3.
- Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Texans have a straight-up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-5.
Notable Injuries
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Kaevon Merriweather – Ankle (Questionable)
- Ko Kieft – Ankle (Questionable)
- Tristan Wirfs – Quadriceps (Probable)
- Logan Hall – Groin (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- Matt Feiler – Knee (Questionable)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
Houston Texans
- Robert Woods – Foot (Questionable)
- Sheldon Rankins – Knee (Questionable)
- Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- Derek Stingley Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
- Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
- Brevin Jordan – Foot (Questionable)
- Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
- Ka’dar Hollman – Ankle (Probable)
- Tytus Howard – Knee (Probable)
- Dameon Pierce – Ankle (Questionable)
- Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Questionable)
- George Fant – Foot/shoulder (Probable)
- Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
- Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)
Keys To Victory: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are currently averaging 17.3 points per contest while being one of the more pass-heavy teams in the NFL, sitting 11th in attempts per game. Baker Mayfield is 20th among QB’s in passing yards and has a season-long passer rating of 89.5. As a team, Tampa Bay is just 16th in passing yards per game. The team’s top receiver, Mike Evans, has caught 33 passes and has accumulated 507 receiving yards this season. A major reason for the team’s lack of offense is their inability to generate production with the rushing attack. Heading into today’s game, the team’s below-average number of rush attempts has turned into an average of just 77.9 rushing yards per game.
Keys To Victory: Houston Texans
Coming into week 9, the Texans are looking for a good game, as they currently sit close to the league average at 21.1 points per game. Houston is presently 17th in passing attempts, with an average of 7 yards per attempt (7). Their 238.6 passing yards per game also place them 10th in the league. A major problem for this year’s Houston offense is their lack of production in the run game. Per attempt the team is averaging just 3.2 yards per attempt. Overall, they are the 23rd-ranked team in yards per game.
Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- In their last ten games at home, the Texans have a straight-up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Buccaneers have a straight-up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Texans have a straight-up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 3-7.
Prediction
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20 – Houston Texans 19
