Super Bowl NFL Matchup
Point Spread: 49ers -2 | Total Points: 47.5
Coming into this Super Bowl matchup vs the Chiefs, the 49ers have an above .500 record at 12-5. In their most recent matchup, the 49ers secured a win against the Lions with a final score of 34-31. Even with the straight-up win, the 49ers did not cover the spread against Detroit. On the spread, the 49ers were favored by 7.5. Combining for 65 points with Detroit, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 53.
As the Chiefs get ready for the Super Bowl, the team has an overall record of 11-6. Against AFC opponents, they have a record of 12-3. In their previous game, the Chiefs defeated the Ravens with a final score of 17-10. The Chiefs not only won straight-up but also covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs. The under hit in the Chiefs’ most recent game, where the teams’ combined total was 27 points. The line prior to the game stood at 44.
San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs History
The last three times that the 49ers have faced off vs. the Chiefs as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. Against the spread, the Chiefs have gone 2-1 the last three times they have faced off against the 49ers as the underdog.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, San Francisco has an ATS record of 6-3-1 while averaging 28 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
- The Chiefs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
- The Chiefs have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 5-0 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.
- Although the 49ers have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs. the spread going 1-4.
Notable Injuries
San Francisco 49ers
- Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
- Samuel Womack III – Knee (Out)
- Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)
- Elijah Mitchell – Knee (Out)
- Jauan Jennings – Shin (Out)
Kansas City Chiefs
- Jaylen Watson – Shoulder (Out)
- Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
- Nick Bolton – Ankle (Out)
- Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
- Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
- Richie James – Knee (Out)
- Charles Omenihu – Suspension (Out)
Keys To Victory: San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco’s offense comes in with an average of 28.9 points per game, which is currently 2nd in the league. A strength of this year’s team has been their offensive line, as they have only allowed sacks on 6.5% of the team’s passing attempts. This strong protection has helped the team average 257.2 yards per game through the air. The 49ers come into the game handing the ball off 29.3 times per game and are currently 3rd in rushing yards. Their average yards per attempt is 4.8.
Keys To Victory: Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City’s offense comes in with an average of 22 points per game, which is currently 15th in the league. Kansas City will look to continue executing well in the passing attack, as they currently ranked 7th in the league in yards per game. This has come while dropping back to pass at a rate of 36.9 times per contest. At 108.3 rushing yards per game, the Chiefs are currently ranked 18th in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 25.4 times per game, which is 24th.
Betting Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, San Francisco has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 35 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Chiefs offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 18. Kansas City posted an overall record of 8-2 while going 6-3-1 ATS.
- The Chiefs have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 5-0 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the 49ers have a straight-up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
Prediction
- San Francisco 49ers 26 – Kansas City Chiefs 25
