NFC Matchup Pick and Preview
Point Spread: Seahawks +2.5 | Total Points: 44.5
Overall, the Seahawks have an above .500 record at 6-3. Helping their cause is the fact that they are in the midst of 4 game winning streak. In NFC action, the team is 4-3. This week, the Seahawks will look to keep things rolling after picking up a 31-21 win over their division rival, the Arizona Cardinals. Going into last week’s matchup, Seattle was 2.5 point underdogs on the spread. The teams combined for a total of 52 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 49.
Leading into their week 10 NFC South matchup against Seattle, the Buccaneers have an overall record of 4-5 and are coming off a 16-13 win over the Los Angeles Rams. In terms of the spread, Tampa Bay and Los Angeles pushed, with the Buccaneers as 3.0-point favorites. The team’s combined scoring of 29 points fell below the posted betting line of 42.
Seahawks vs. Buccaneers History
In the 2021-2022 season, the two teams did not have a head-to-head matchup. When looking back on the last three times the Seahawks and Buccaneers have played each other, Seattle has the edge with a record of 2-1. However, the average scoring differential in these matchups is dead even with each team averaging 24 points per game. The last three times the Buccaneers have hosted Seattle, they have a record of 1-2.
Notable Injuries
Seattle Seahawks
- Tre Brown (Knee) Questionable
- Poona Ford (Illness) Probable
- Ryan Neal (Ankle) Questionable
- Al Woods (Illness) Probable
- Marquise Goodwin (Groin) Questionable
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Nick Leverett (Illness) Questionable
- Luke Goedeke (Foot) Questionable
- J.J. Russell (Hamstring) Questionable
- Russell Gage (Hamstring) Questionable
- Mike Evans (Ribs/ankle) Questionable
- Julio Jones (Knee) Questionable
- Shaq Mason (Ankle) Questionable
Keys To Victory: Seattle Seahawks
If the Seahawks are going to come away with the win, they will need to continue their strong production on offense. For the season, Seattle is averaging 26.8 points per game, 4th best in the NFL. Despite their strong overall numbers, one area to keep an eye on is their inability to protect the quarterback as they are ranked 23rd in fewest hits on the QB. Even with this high pressure rate, Geno Smith has a passer rating of 107.2 and a TD-to-INT ratio of 15 to 4. Seattle comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 10th in yards per game on the ground. Kenneth Walker III leads the unit with 570 yards while averaging 5.1 yards per carry.
Keys To Victory: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This season, the Buccaneers have had their problems on offense, as through 9 games, they are averaging just 18.0 points per game. Although the group is struggling on offense, their defense has been good enough to maintain an even scoring margin. Look for the Buccaneers to rely heavily on the passing attack in this week’s matchup, as not only are they one of the better teams at moving the ball through the air, but they have a good matchup against a Seahawks defense giving up 225.89 yards per game vs the pass. For the season, Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady is averaging 44.22 passing attempts per game and has posted one of the better passer ratings in the league (90.52). One thing to keep an eye on that might affect the Tampa Bay offense is the health status of wide receiver Mike Evans as he is listed as questionable on the injury report. So far, Evans leads the team with 617 receiving yards while catching 62.9% of the balls thrown his way.
This season, yards have been hard to come by on the ground for Tampa Bay, as they are currently ranked 32nd in offensive rushing yards per game. But this week’s matchup vs Seattle presents an opportunity to improve this figure, as the Seahawks’ defense is one of the worst units at defending the run. So far, the team’s leading rusher is Leonard Fournette, who is averaging 3.3 yards per attempt. Through 9 games, he has rushed for a total of 405 yards on the ground.
Betting Trends
- Seattle is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- Seattle is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
- Seattle is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
- Seattle is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Prediction
Picks Calculator has been riding the Seahawks for weeks now, but we are going to lean the Bucs in this matchup. We like Tampa to win and cover.
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