Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers Pick and Preview
NFC Matchup
Point Spread: Rams +7.0 | Total Points: 39.5
Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Packers, the Rams have a below .500 record at 4-9. The Rams head into week 15, looking for another win, as they picked up 1 point victory over the Las Vegas Raiders (17-16). With the win, Los Angeles was able to cover the spread, as they were 6.0 point underdogs. With an over-under betting line of 41, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 33.
Leading into their week 15 NFC matchup against Los Angeles, the Packers have an overall record of 5-8. Green Bay will be looking to add another win to their resume, as they picked up a division win over the Chicago Bears. The Packers won by a score of 28-19. Green Bay entered the game as -3.5 point favorite and went on to cover the spread. The teams combined for a total of 47 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 45.
Rams vs Packers History
The most recent matchup between the two teams goes back to last year when the Packers picked up a 36-28 win. Not only did they come away with the victory at home, but Green Bay also covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs. In the last 3 head-to-head matchups, the Packers are averaging 31 points per game, compared to the Rams at 25. These figures have led to Green Bay posting a record of 2-1.
In the 3 most recent games that the Packers have played host in this series, they have played well, posting a record of 2-1. When looking at the 5 most recent games, Green Bay has been excellent vs the spread, sitting at 0-5 ATS. These games have finished with an average point total of 50, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Notable Injuries
Los Angeles Rams
- Ernest Jones (Wrist) Questionable
- Robert Rochell (Wrist) Questionable
- Marquise Copeland (Ankle) Questionable
- Aaron Donald (Ankle) Questionable
- Brian Allen (Knee) Questionable
- Travin Howard (Hip) Questionable
- John Wolford (Neck) Questionable
- David Long Jr. (Groin) Questionable
Green Bay Packers
- Kingsley Enagbare (Knee) Probable
- Romeo Doubs (Ankle) Probable
- Caleb Jones (Illness) Questionable
- Darnell Savage (Foot) Probable
- Krys Barnes (Hand) Probable
- Aaron Jones (Ankle) Questionable
- Rudy Ford (Wrist) Probable
- Elgton Jenkins (Knee) Questionable
- David Bakhtiari (Knee) Questionable
- Aaron Rodgers (Thumb/rib) Probable
Keys To Victory: Los Angeles Rams
Compared to other teams, the Los Angeles offense is having problems putting up points, averaging just 16.7 points per contest. The Rams struggling offense has led to an average scoring margin of -6.0 points per game. Against Green Bay, look for the Rams’ offense to have a tough time moving the ball through the air. So far, the team’s passing offense is averaging just 196.9 yards per game through the pass. If the Rams are going to come away with a win, quarterback Baker Mayfield will need to have a big game. So far, Mayfield has thrown for 1543 yards but has a below-average passer rating of 76.8. So far, the team’s top receiving threat has been Cooper Kupp, who comes into the game with 812 receiving yards. For the season, he has been the recipient of 34.0% of the pass attempts to wide receivers.
This season, yards have been hard to come by on the ground for Los Angeles, as they are currently ranked just 30th in offensive rushing yards per game. But this week’s matchup vs Green Bay presents an opportunity to improve this figure as the Packers’ defense is one of the worst units at defending the run. So far, the team’s leading rusher is Cam Akers, who is averaging 3.3 yards per attempt. Through 11 games, he has rushed for a total of 376 yards on the ground.
Keys To Victory: Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay passing attack come into the game ranked just 18th in passing attempts. This below-average figure has led to Rodgers throwing for a total of 2864 yards on a completion percentage of 64.3%. Wide receiver Allen Lazard is pacing the Packers with 620 receiving yards. This week, he is facing the 10th-ranked secondary in terms of yards allowed to wide receivers.
One of the best matchups to watch in this game is in the trenches, as the Packers are one of the top rushing offenses in the league at 125.4 yards per game. On the other side, the Packers are ranked 5th in rush yards allowed.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles is 2-2-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
- Los Angeles is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
- Los Angeles is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Prediction
This game will be cold and low scoring. While Aaron Rodgers loves to play in these conditions, the Rams should not be taken likely. We like the Packers to win, Rams cover in a low-scoring game (Under)
Heading into this game we’re having a good week, 10-4-1 ATS. See all our NFL picks here.
