Game Preview

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Pick and Preview

Michael Pittman

AFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Colts -1.5 | Total Points: 42.5

Through 13 games, the Steelers have a record of 7-6 and are looking to break a two-game losing streak. In AFC action, they have a mark of 5-4. Most recently, the Steelers hosted the Patriots. The game ended in a 21-18 loss for Pittsburgh. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Steelers also fell short of covering the spread as 5-point favorites. With an over/under line of 30.5 points, the game saw a total of 39 points, going over the set line.

Heading into the game, the Colts are the 7th-ranked team in the AFC with a record of 7-6. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 5-4. The Colts are coming off a game where they were defeated by the Bengals with a final score of 34-14. With a 20-point loss, the Colts added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 3-point underdogs prior to the game. The over/under line for the game was 44.5 points, and the teams managed to surpass it, recording a combined total of 48 points.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts History

The Steelers and Colts faced off one-time last season, with the Steelers picking up a 24-17 win. With a combined 41 points, the Steelers and Colts surpassed the over/under line of 39.5. The Steelers covered the spread in this matchup. Offensively, the Steelers finished with 323 total yards, with 151 coming in the passing game and 172 on the ground. The Colts finished with 290 yards of offense in the loss.

Over the last three times playing each other, the Steelers have a record of 3-0. The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 47 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 3-0.

Notable Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • T.J. Watt – Concussion (Probable)
  • Keanu Neal – Rib (Out)
  • Kwon Alexander – Achilles (Out)
  • Elijah Riley – Ankle (Out)
  • Kenny Pickett – Ankle (Out)
  • Alex Highsmith – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Renell Wren – Achilles (Out)
  • Cole Holcomb – Knee (Out)
  • Cory Trice Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Alfonzo Graham – Shoulder (Out)
  • Diontae Johnson – Knee (Probable)
  • Cameron Heyward – Groin (Probable)
  • Isaac Seumalo – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Elandon Roberts – Groin (Questionable)
  • Keeanu Benton – Oblique (Questionable)
  • Najee Harris – Knee (Probable)
  • Damontae Kazee – Ankle (Probable)

Indianapolis Colts

  • Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
  • Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
  • Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
  • Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jaylon Jones – Ankle (Probable)
  • DeForest Buckner – Back (Questionable)
  • Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
  • Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
  • Zaire Franklin – Illness (Probable)
  • Segun Olubi – Hip (Questionable)
  • Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
  • KJ Hamler – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jonathan Taylor – Thumb (Questionable)
  • Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
  • Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
  • Braden Smith – Knee (Questionable)
  • Al-Quadin Muhammad – Suspension (Out)

Keys To Victory: Pittsburgh Steelers

On offense, the Steelers are ranked 24th in the league at 16.2 points per game. They will need a strong offensive performance in order to pull out the win as 1.5 point underdogs. George Pickens has been targeted 84 times this season, and has caught 49 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 767 receiving yards. The Steelers are currently 15th in the NFL with 112.8 rushing yards per game. This has come on an average of 26.8 rushing attempts (16th).

Keys To Victory: Indianapolis Colts

Gardner Minshew and the Indianapolis offense enter this week 15 matchup, averaging 24.2 points per contest, placing them 8th in the NFL. This season, he has completed 63.2% of his passes, leading an average of 210 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 18th among QB’s in passing yards and 16th in attempts. Michael Pittman Jr. has been targeted 138 times this season and has caught 95 passes. He comes into the game with a total of 984 receiving yards. At 110.5 rushing yards per game, the Colts are 16th in the NFL. For the season, they are running the ball an average of 27.2 times per game (14th).

Betting Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Steelers offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 18. Pittsburgh posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • Across the Colts’ last ten home games, the team averaged 22 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Pittsburgh has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 7-3 straight up.
  • Spanning their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Colts have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.

Prediction

  • Indianapolis Colts 23 – Pittsburgh Steelers 20
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