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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Pick and Preview

Pat Freiermuth

AFC North Divisional Matchup

Point Spread: Steelers -4 | Total Points: 35

As the Steelers prepare for this AFC matchup, the team has an overall record of 9-7. This includes riding a current two-game winning streak. Against AFC opponents, they have a record of 6-5. During their last game, the Steelers came out on top against the Seahawks, finishing with a score of 30-23. In addition to winning the game, the Steelers managed to cover the spread as 4.5-point underdogs. The over hit in their most recent game, as the Seahawks and Steelers combined for 53 points. The over/under line was 41.

Coming into this week 18 AFC matchup, the Ravens are in the middle of a six-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 13-3. In their most recent game, the Ravens beat the Dolphins by a score of 56-19. Being favored by 3 points against the Dolphins, the Ravens came through with an ATS win. With an over/under line of 47 points, the game saw a total of 75 points, going over the set line.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens History

Last year, the Ravens and Steelers split their head-to-head matchups, with each team going 1-1. The Steelers and Ravens averaged 29.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 0-2. Against the spread, they each went 1-1. The Steelers’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 340 yards per game of offense. As for the Ravens, they averaged 274.5 yards offensively.

The Steelers have won each of the last three games on the road vs. the Ravens. When looking at the last three head-to-head matchups between the Steelers and Ravens, only 2 points per game has separated the teams, with the Steelers going 2-1 vs. the spread.

Notable Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Elandon Roberts – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • Keanu Neal – Rib (Out)
  • Kwon Alexander – Achilles (Out)
  • Damontae Kazee – Suspended (Out)
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick – Knee (Questionable)
  • Cole Holcomb – Knee (Out)
  • Renell Wren – Achilles (Out)
  • Cory Trice Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Alfonzo Graham – Shoulder (Out)
  • Trenton Thompson – Neck (Questionable)

Baltimore Ravens

  • Kevin Zeitler – Knee/quad (Out)
  • Brandon Stephens – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Daryl Worley – Shoulder/ankle (Out)
  • Kevon Seymour – Shoulder (Out)
  • Mark Andrews – Ankle (Out)
  • Marlon Humphrey – Calf (Out)
  • Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
  • J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
  • Devin Duvernay – Back (Out)
  • Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
  • Ar’Darius Washington – Chest (Questionable)
  • David Ojabo – Knee (Out)
  • Kyle Hamilton – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jalyn Armour-Davis – Concussion (Out)
  • Keaton Mitchell – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
  • Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)
  • Arthur Maulet – Hip (Questionable)
  • Malik Harrison – Groin (Out)
  • Zay Flowers – Calf (Doubtful)
  • Ronald Darby – Illness (Questionable)
  • Tylan Wallace – Knee (Questionable)
  • Odell Beckham Jr. – Rest (Out)
  • Lamar Jackson – Rest (Out)

Keys To Victory: Pittsburgh Steelers

As the Steelers prepare to take on Baltimore, they will be looking to put together a better performance in the passing game than their season average so far. Mason Rudolph has the team ranked 25th in passing yards per game and is ranked 49th among quarterbacks in yards through the air. Wide receiver George Pickens is pacing the Steelers with 1140 receiving yards. Overall, he has 63 catches on 106 targets. The team has had their problems on offense despite being one of the better rushing units in the NFL. On the season, Pittsburgh is averaging 115.9 yards per game on the ground, good for 12th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Baltimore Ravens

This season, the Ravens offense is among the top-performing units in the league, maintaining an average of 29.6 points per game. This average has them 2nd in the NFL. In the passing game, the Ravens are averaging 219.8 passing yards per game, which is 21st in the league. So far, 49.4% of their first downs have come through the passing game. This season, the Ravens offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 32.2 yards per game, placing them 1st in the NFL.

Betting Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Pittsburgh has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 18 points per game.
  • Across the Ravens’ last ten home games, the team averaged 22 points per game while allowing 17. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Ravens have a straight-up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 8-2.
  • The Steelers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Prediction

  • Baltimore Ravens 22 – Pittsburgh Steelers 17
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