Game Preview

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns Pick and Preview

Breece Hall

AFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Browns -7 | Total Points: 35.5

Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Browns, the Jets have a below .500 record at 6-9. In their last game, the Jets came out on top against the Commanders, winning by a score of 30-28. Although they won the game, the Jets failed to cover the spread against the Commanders despite being favored by 3. The game had an over/under line of 36.5 points, and both teams went beyond it, scoring a combined total of 58 points.

Overall, the Browns have an above .500 record at 10-5. Helping their cause is the fact that they are in the midst of a three-game winning streak. In AFC action, the team is 7-3. The last time Cleveland played, the Browns beat the Texans with a final score of 36-22. The Browns were able to cover the spread vs. Houston, as they went into the game favored by 3. The over/under line for their game vs. 40 points, which the teams exceeded with a combined 58 points.

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns History

In their only head to head matchup last season, the Jets won by a score of 31-30. The over/under line in last year’s matchup between the Jets and Browns was 38.5, which they surpassed with 61 points combined. The Jets finished with the ATS win in this game. Offensively, the Jets finished with 402 total yards, with 309 coming in the passing game and 93 on the ground. The Browns finished with 405 yards of offense in the loss.

Over the last three times playing each other, the Jets have a record of 2-1. The Jets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 42 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

Notable Injuries

New York Jets

  • John Franklin-Myers – Ankle/groin (Questionable)
  • Jeremy Ruckert – Concussion (Out)
  • Zach Wilson – Concussion (Out)
  • Ashtyn Davis – Abdominal (Questionable)
  • Bradlee Anae – Undisclosed (Out)
  • C.J. Uzomah – Knee (Out)
  • Connor McGovern – Knee (Out)
  • Quinton Jefferson – Hip (Out)
  • Wes Schweitzer – Calf (Out)
  • Al Woods – Achilles (Out)
  • Aaron Rodgers – Achilles (Out)
  • Duane Brown – Back (Questionable)
  • Greg Zuerlein – Quad (Questionable)
  • Chuck Clark – Knee (Out)
  • Tanzel Smart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ifeadi Odenigbo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Justin Hardee – Foot (Questionable)
  • Israel Abanikanda – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Perrion Winfrey – Foot (Out)
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker – Achilles (Out)
  • Zaire Barnes – Hamstring (Out)

Cleveland Browns

  • Myles Garrett – Shoulder (Probable)
  • Michael Woods II – Suspension (Out)
  • Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
  • Dawand Jones – Knee (Out)
  • Martin Emerson Jr. – Shin (Questionable)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson – Hip (Out)
  • Grant Delpit – Groin (Out)
  • Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
  • Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Corey Bojorquez – Quad (Questionable)
  • Wyatt Teller – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Ogbo Okoronkwo – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • Juan Thornhill – Calf (Questionable)
  • Jordan Kunaszyk – Calf (Questionable)
  • Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
  • Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
  • Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
  • Amari Cooper – Heel (Questionable)
  • Joel Bitonio – Back/knee (Questionable)
  • Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)
  • Marquise Goodwin – Knee (Questionable)
  • Dustin Hopkins – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Rodney McLeod Jr. – Bicep (Out)
  • Maurice Hurst II – Pectoral (Out)
  • Geron Christian – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
  • Kareem Hunt – Groin (Questionable)
  • Ethan Pocic – Stinger (Questionable)
  • Anthony Walker Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
  • Deshaun Watson – Shoulder (Out)
  • David Njoku – Knee (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: New York Jets

On the offensive side of the ball, the Jets currently hold an average of 15.4 points per game, which places them at 27th in the NFL. In the passing game, the Jets are 32nd in the NFL in yards per pass despite ranking 10th in pass attempts per contest. New York comes in with an average of 4 yards per rushing attempt and have an average of 21.7 attempts per game. In terms of total rushing yards, they are currently ranked 27th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Cleveland Browns

So far this season, the Cleveland offense has been averaging 23 points per game, ranking them 10th in the league. Joe Flacco’s passer rating of 85.1 places him 36th among quarterbacks. This rating has come on 1307 yards passing and 10 passing touchdowns. Cleveland comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 3.7 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 11th in yards per game on the ground.

Betting Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Jets have a straight-up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 6 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Browns offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Cleveland posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 8-2 straight up.

Prediction

  • Cleveland Browns 20 – New York Jets 17
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