NFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Rams -4 | Total Points: 44.5
Heading into this week’s matchup against Los Angeles, the Saints have won two straight games and have a current record of 7-7. In their last game, the Saints welcomed the Giants. The game finished in a 24-6 win for the Saints. The Saints were able to cover the spread vs. New York, as they went into the game favored by 6. The under bettors were successful in the Saints’ most recent game, with a combined total of 30 points. The game’s betting line was 39.5.
Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Saints, the Rams have a .500 record at 7-7. Los Angeles is looking to string together another win after taking down the Commanders 28-20 in their last game. Given that they were favored by 6.5 against the Commanders, the Rams picked up an ATS win. The over/under line for their most recent game against Washington was 48.5. Finishing with a combined total of 48 points, the under hit in this matchup.
New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams History
Last year, the Saints and Rams faced off one time, with the Saints winning 27-20. The over/under line in last year’s matchup between the Saints and Rams was 39, which they surpassed with 47 points combined. The Saints finished with the ATS win in this game. In the win, the Saints racked up 323 yards of total offense compared to the Rams at 336. The Saints rushed for 88 yards and threw for 235 in the game.
The last three times that the Rams have faced off vs. the Saints as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. It is worth noting that even though the Rams have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in the three most recent matchups vs. the Saints, they are just 1-2 the last three times they hosted the Saints.
Notable Injuries
New Orleans Saints
- Michael Thomas – Knee (Out)
- Cameron Jordan – Ankle (Questionable)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Marshon Lattimore – Ankle (Out)
- Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Questionable)
- Marcus Maye – Shoulder (Out)
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Carl Granderson – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
- Lonnie Johnson Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Chris Olave – Ankle (Questionable)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Questionable)
- Malcolm Roach – Knee (Out)
- Nick Saldiveri – Shoulder (Out)
- Isaiah Foskey – Quad (Questionable)
- Kendre Miller – Ankle (Questionable)
Los Angeles Rams
- Stetson Bennett – Non Injury Related (Out)
- Tre Tomlinson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Alex Ward – Neck (Out)
- Tutu Atwell – Concussion (Probable)
- Hunter Long – Knee (acl) (Out)
- Ronnie Rivers – Knee (Out)
- Duke Shelley – Hamstring (Out)
- Ahkello Witherspoon – Groin (Questionable)
- Joe Noteboom – Foot (Questionable)
- Rob Havenstein – Groin (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: New Orleans Saints
The Saints come in with an average of 22.1 points per game on offense, which has them 11th in the NFL. A strength of this year’s team has been their offensive line, as they have only allowed sacks on 5.4% of the team’s passing attempts. This strong protection has helped the team average 231.3 yards per game through the air. With 103.2 rushing yards per game, the Saints hold the 19th spot in the NFL. This average is coming on an average of 28.1 rushing attempts (9th).
Keys To Victory: Los Angeles Rams
On offense, the Rams are averaging 23.4 points per game, putting them 9th in the NFL. Los Angeles will look to continue executing well in the passing attack, as they currently ranked 11th in the league in yards per game. This has come while dropping back to pass at a rate of 35.1 times per contest. The Rams are running the ball an average of 27.6 times per game and currently hold the 11th rank in rushing yards. Per attempt, they are averaging 4.4 yards.
Betting Trends
- In their last five games away from home, the Saints have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
- Los Angeles has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 23. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- The last ten games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Rams have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Prediction
- Los Angeles Rams 23 – New Orleans Saints 20
