Game Preview

New England Patriots vs New York Giants Pick and Preview

Saquon Barkley

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Patriots -3.5 | Total Points: 34

This week, the Patriots will look to snap their current three-game losing streak with a victory over the Giants. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 2-8. Recently, the Patriots played and had a 10-6 loss against the Colts. In addition to their 4-point loss, the Patriots also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 1.5-point underdogs at the start of the game. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 42 points. By combining for 16 points, the under hit.

Coming into their showdown with the Giants have a below .500 record at 3-8. In their most recent matchup, the Giants secured a win against the Commanders with a final score of 31-19. In addition to winning the game, the Giants managed to cover the spread as 7.5-point underdogs. The over/under line for their game vs. 38.5 points, which the team exceeded with a combined 50 points.

New England Patriots vs New York Giants History

The last ten head-to-head matchups between the Patriots and Giants have gone in favor of the Patriots, putting together a record of 6-4. Looking back over the previous three times that the Patriots and Giants have faced off, they have combined to average 46 points per game and have an over/under record of 2-1.

  • New England has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games and vs the spread they are 4-6. The team averaged 21 points per game in these games.
  • New York is 1-4 in their last five home games and 2-3 ATS. The team averaged 15 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Giants have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Patriots have a straight-up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Notable Injuries

New England Patriots

  • Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
  • Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
  • Deatrich Wise Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Christian Barmore – Knee (Questionable)
  • Matthew Slater – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jonathan Jones – Knee (Questionable)
  • Myles Bryant – Chest (Questionable)
  • Riley Reiff – Knee (Questionable)
  • Trent Brown – Ankle (Questionable)
  • DeVante Parker – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
  • Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
  • Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
  • Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
  • Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)

New York Giants

  • Bryce Ford-Wheaton – Knee (Out)
  • Sterling Shepard – Hip (Probable)
  • Bobby Okereke – Hip/rib (Questionable)
  • Andrew Thomas – Knee (Probable)
  • Tyre Phillips – Knee (Probable)
  • Dexter Lawrence II – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Bobby McCain – Illness (Probable)
  • A’Shawn Robinson – Back (Questionable)
  • Tre Hawkins III – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Tyrod Taylor – Ribs (Out)
  • Darren Waller – Hamstring (Out)
  • Graham Gano – Knee (Out)
  • Jarrad Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Adoree’ Jackson – Concussion (Probable)
  • Daniel Jones – Knee (Out)
  • Darius Slayton – Neck (Questionable)
  • Tommy Sweeney – Illness (Out)
  • J.C. Hassenauer – Triceps (Out)
  • Aaron Robinson – Knee (Out)
  • Eric Gray – Calf (Questionable)
  • Evan Neal – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Joshua Ezeudu – Toe (Out)
  • Gary Brightwell – Hamstring (Out)
  • Matt Peart – Shoulder (Out)
  • Shane Lemieux – Biceps/groin (Out)

Keys To Victory: New England Patriots

Compared to other teams, the New England offense is having problems putting up points, averaging just 14.1 points per contest. In terms of the passing game, the Patriots have an average of 199.6 passing yards per game, placing them 22nd in the league rankings. At present, 57% of their first downs have come through the passing game. A major problem for this year’s New England offense is their lack of production in the run game. The team is averaging just 3.8 yards per attempt. Overall, they are the 26th-ranked team in yards per game.

Keys To Victory: New York Giants

If the Giants are going to pull off the win as the underdog, they will be looking for a big game out of quarterback Tommy Devito and the league’s 30th-ranked scoring offense. This season, he has completed 61.2% of his passes, leading an average of 101 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 39th among QB’s in passing yards and 39th in attempts. Against the Patriots, the team will look to get receiver Darius Slayton involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 4.5 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 419. The Giants hold the 13th position in the NFL with 111.5 rushing yards per game. This average has come on an average of 28.1 rushing attempts (10th).

Betting Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Patriots have a straight-up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 12 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Giant’s last five home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Giants have a straight-up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-2-1.
  • Although the Patriots have a strong straight-up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs. the spread going 2-3.


  • New England Patriots 20 – New York Giants 19
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