Friday NBA Props
Oh, we have that Friday feeling. After a successful 3-0 outing on Wednesday, we look to close out a pretty successful March with a huge slate of games this evening. With 13 games in total, we have plenty to choose from and look to build on our 29-15 record for the year.
Isaiah Joe over 15.5 points scored (-115)
We begin with the Indiana Pacers (33-44) hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-39) as the Thunder look to hang on to the final play-in spot in the Western Conference, and the Pacers look to break a 4-game losing streak. In the last 3 games, the Pacers are dead last in points allowed, a staggering 139.7 per game, and none of those went to overtime. As a result, we look to the OKC scorers and Isaiah Joe is going to be looking for a strong bounce-back game this evening. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander still missing for Oklahoma, and in his 2 game absence so far Joe has scored 33 and 12 points. The reason for the bounce-back is in the last game with 12 points, Joe shot 0/7 from 3 and just 4/12 from the field, and OKC ranks 9th in points scored per game (119.1). So with the Pacer’s poor defense and the Thunder’s offense, they should see a high total tonight. In his last game against the Pacers as well, Joe scored 23 points in just 22 minutes of action.
Ja Morant over 27.5 points scored (-115)
After his controversial time out, Ja Morant is back in for the Grizzlies and after being eased back in for the first few games, he saw a strong return to full-game action on Wednesday playing 35 minutes and scoring 36 points. The LA Clippers (41-36) travel to Memphis for the second of back-to-back games against the Grizzlies (48-28), and if the first game is anything to go by, it should be another exciting matchup. Morant in his last 4 games versus the Clippers has hit 28+ points in each, and the Clippers currently rank 27th in points against in their last 3 (125). As well as this, the Grizzlies have the 7th best points scored (122.7) in the same timeframe, and both teams are shooting over 50% currently which should see a close and high-scoring game, causing Morant to hopefully stay in the game for 35+ minutes again.
Deni Avdija over 8.5 rebounds (-125)
Following his success for us last week, we’re running it back with Deni Avdija as Kyle Kuzma continues to be absent for the home team. The Washington Wizards (34-42) welcome the Orlando Magic (32-44) to DC as the Wizards look for back-to-back wins for the first time since the end of February. The Wizards are still without Kyle Kuzma and Bradley Beal, and nobody has benefitted more from their absence than Avdija. In the last 5 games without Kuzma, Avdija has averaged 9.5 rebounds per game and even hit 10 against the Magic 10 days ago. As well as this, the Magic rank 28th in total rebounds allowed per game (55.3) and they’re shooting slightly below their season average (46.3%). This should provide another busy night for Avdija, and with the game a straight pick’em, it should stay very close and highly competitive throughout.
Donte DiVincenzo over 8.5 points scored (+100)
In a similar spot to our Keegan Murray pick on Wednesday, we could be looking at another blowout game with this one and look to pick accordingly. The Golden State Warriors (40-37) host the San Antonio Spurs (19-57) who come to town on a 5-game losing streak, whilst the Warriors have only lost 1 of their last 5. Golden State also starts as staggering -17.5 point favorites, which is no surprise as the Spurs rank 29th in points against in their last 3 (133.7), so we expect the Warriors to put up plenty of points. As a result, we try to look to the lesser scorers as in their last matchup, the Warriors won by 31 and Curry only scored 15 points. Step up, DiVincenzo. Over his last 10 games, he’s averaged 9.5 points and if the game script goes accordingly he should see extra minutes tonight. On top of this, in their last game against the Spurs, as we mentioned, DiVincenzo scored 22 points. The Spurs also allowed 35 3pt attempts per game in their last 3 (20th) and Golden State attempted 43.3 (3rd) in that same timeframe, so expect plenty of shots from behind the line, including from DiVincenzo who is shooting 39.6% from 3 this season, which is the 3rd best behind Steph Curry & Klay Thompson.
Spencer Dinwiddie over 9.5 assists (+110)
We finish with another slightly over-even money shot, as the Brooklyn Nets (41-35) take on the Atlanta Hawks (38-38) in a big Eastern Conference play-off clash. Spencer Dinwiddie has been a pivotal part of the Nets offense since joining from the Mavericks and looks to benefit against a poor Atlanta defense. The Hawks rank 26th in points against per game over their last 3 (123.7) and the Nets will want to take advantage as they sit 9th in points scored (119.3). A high-scoring matchup will benefit Dinwiddie who has 11+ assists in his last 4 home games and overall has averaged 10.4 assists in his last 10 games straight. Brooklyn also ranks 5th in shooting percentage on the season (48.9%), which should benefit Dinwiddie as in his last 10 he’s had an average of 16.4 potential assists per game. With the Hawks just -1.5 point favorites, we anticipate another close and high-scoring affair.
I’m David, 28, originally from England but now married and living in Texas. Originally studied English Literature at Liverpool Hope University, alongside Sport & Education. Having been an avid sports fan my entire life, I had a season ticket at Everton FC in the EPL for 17 years. Since moving here I’ve become a Kansas City Chiefs fan after Kelce won me my Fantasy League on my first-ever try. Love watching the games whether it be college on Saturdays or the NFL throughout the week. You’ll always find me with a bet or two on as well. 1 leg losses are my Kryptonite.