NBA

NBA Picks For Wednesday

NBA Picks for Wednesday

Today’s NBA slate of action includes 13 games. Right now, the Celtics are the largest favorite of the day as -13 point favorites over the Nets. On the other end, the closest point spread belongs to a matchup between the Knicks and Magic, with the Magic coming in as -3 point favorites. Out of today’s games, 10 of the 13 games have the home team as the favorite.

Best Bets

New York Knicks vs. Orlando Magic

Magic: -3 | Over/Under: 213

The Magic are 29-25 and have played their last three games at home. The Knicks are 33-21 and are 3-point underdogs. This game can be seen on BSF.

The BAKER engine has Jalen Brunson as the leading scorer for the team with 27 points. He is projected to go 2/6 from beyond the arc. Bojan Bogdanovic is projected to finish second on the team with 18 points. As for the Magic, Paolo Banchero is projected to finish with 40 fantasy points. This includes 22 points and 7 rebounds.

According to the BAKER model, the Knicks are expected to hit 15 out of 19 free throws and make 12 threes at a rate of 37.5%. As for the Magic, they are projected to make 14 threes at a rate of 35.9%. The model also has them finishing with 31 assists.

Knicks Injury Report

  • Julius Randle (Out) Shoulder
  • OG Anunoby (Out) Elbow
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (Questionable) Achilles
  • Donte DiVincenzo (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Mitchell Robinson (Out) Ankle

Magic Injury Report

NoneBAKER Prediction: Magic 137 – Knicks 100


San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks

Mavericks: -11 | Over/Under: 240

The Mavericks are set to take on the Mavericks in a Southwest Division matchup. At this time, the Mavericks are 11-point favorites. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 8:30 ET and can be watched on BSSW.

In our BAKER projections, we have Devin Vassell as the leading scorer for the Spurs with 19 points and a field goal percentage of 46.7%. Luka Doncic is projected to put up 32 points, 8 rebounds, and 9 assists for the Mavericks. Kyrie Irving is expected to be the second leading scorer for the Mavericks with 25 points, which is just below his season average of 25.2 points per game.

According to the BAKER model, the Spurs are projected to hit 44.9% of their field goal attempts. On two-point attempts, they are expected to hit 52.5%, while shooting 32.4% from beyond the arc. As for the Mavericks’ BAKER projections, they are expected to hit 18 threes at a clip of 36.7%. In terms of assists, they are projected to finish with 32.

Spurs Injury Report

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (Out) Not With Team
  • Charles Bassey (Out) Left Knee

Mavericks Injury Report

  • Kyrie Irving (Probable) Thumb
  • Dante Exum (Out) Knee
  • Maxi Kleber (Questionable) Nose
  • Luka Doncic (Probable) Nose
  • Dereck Lively II (Questionable) Nose

BAKER Prediction: Mavericks 156 – Spurs 118


Chicago Bulls vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Cavaliers: -9 | Over/Under: 223.5

The Bulls are 26-28 and are preparing for their 4th straight road game. On the other side, the Cavaliers are 35-17 and are currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference. The Cavaliers are favored by 9. The game is set to start at 7:30 ET and can be seen on ESPN.

In today’s matchup, the BAKER model projects DeMar DeRozan to finish with 23 points, slightly above his season average of 22.7 PPG. Coby White is also projected to score 19 points. On the other side, Donovan Mitchell is projected to put up 46 fantasy points, which includes 28 points and 5 rebounds.

The BAKER model has the Bulls hitting 48.8% of their field goal attempts. This includes 53.8% of their two-pointers and 35.7% from three. The Cavaliers are expected to take 24 free throws and make 19. From the field, they are expected to go 50/104 for 48.1%.

Bulls Injury Report

  • Zach LaVine (Out) Ankle
  • Alex Caruso (Questionable) Toe
  • Lonzo Ball (Out) Knee
  • Torrey Craig (Probable) Toe
  • Patrick Williams (Out) Foot
  • Dalen Terry (Probable) Knee

Cavaliers Injury Report

  • Tristan Thompson (Out) Suspension
  • Ty Jerome (Out) Ankle
  • Dean Wade (Questionable) Illness

BAKER Prediction: Cavaliers 134 – Bulls 101


Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets

Hawks: -6 | Over/Under: 238

The Hawks head into this matchup against the Southeast Division with a 6-point advantage on the road. The game is set to tip off at 7:00 ET at Spectrum Center and can be seen on BSSE.

According to the BAKER engine, Trae Young is projected to lead the team with 27 points, shooting 3/9 from three. Dejounte Murray is projected to finish second on the team with 21 points. As for the Hornets, Miles Bridges is averaging 21.6 points per game and is projected to finish with 21 points today. His season-long field goal percentage is 46.5%, with a true shooting percentage of 56.5%.

According to the BAKER prediction model, the Hawks are expected to hit 19 of their 23 free-throw attempts and make 14 three-pointers at a rate of 35.0%. As for the Hornets, the model has them attempting 16 free throws and making 12. On two-point field goals, they are projected to go 31/69 for a shooting percentage of 44.9%.

Hawks Injury Report

  • Clint Capela (Out) Adductor
  • Wesley Matthews (Out) Illness
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Out) Toe
  • AJ Griffin (Out) Illness
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Out) Back

Hornets Injury Report

  • Cody Martin (Probable) Knee
  • LaMelo Ball (Out) Ankle
  • Mark Williams (Out) Back

BAKER Prediction: Hawks 114 – Hornets 85


Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors

Warriors: -3.5 | Over/Under: 234.5

The Warriors are favored by 3.5 as they look to pick up a win against the Warriors in a Pacific Division clash. This game will be shown on ESPN and has a tip-off time of 10:00 ET.

The Clippers’ Paul George is averaging 20.7 points per game on the road this season, compared to his season average of 22.4. He is projected to lead the team with 22 points today. The Warriors’ Stephen Curry is expected to finish with 27 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists. Klay Thompson is projected to finish second on the team with 17 points, which is just below his season average of 17.1 points per game.

According to the BAKER engine, the Clippers are expected to shoot 48.7% from the field and get to the free-throw line 23 times, making 18 of their attempts. As for the Warriors, our BAKER projections have them shooting 47.9% from the field and outrebounding the Clippers with 51 boards compared to the Clippers’ 41 boards.

Clippers Injury Report

  • Kawhi Leonard (Out) Adductor
  • P.J. Tucker (Out) Not With Team
  • Bones Hyland (Out) Not With Team

Warriors Injury Report

  • Chris Paul (Out) Hand

BAKER Prediction: Warriors 125 – Clippers 102


Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Suns

Suns: -12.5 | Over/Under: 235.5

This non-conference matchup between the Pistons and Suns is scheduled to tip-off at 9:00 ET in Phoenix. As of now, the Suns are favored by 12.5. The Pistons come into the game with a record of 8-45, while the Suns are 32-22.

According to the BAKER predictive model, the Pistons’ top scorer against the Suns is projected to be Cade Cunningham with 21 points. Jaden Ivey is expected to contribute 15 points and 27 fantasy points. On the Suns’ side, Kevin Durant is averaging 28.3 points per game and has a projected output of 27 points. He has a season-long field goal percentage of 53.7% and a true shooting percentage of 64.6%.

On the defensive end, the Pistons are projected to come up with 6 steals and collect 40 rebounds. The BAKER model has them shooting 46.8% from the field as a team. The Suns are expected to shoot 38.9% from three-point range and convert on 30 of their 55 two-point attempts.

Pistons Injury Report

  • Isaiah Stewart (Out) Ankle
  • Quentin Grimes (Out) Knee

Suns Injury Report

  • Bradley Beal (Out) Hamstring
  • Damion Lee (Out) Knee

BAKER Prediction: Suns 122 – Pistons 94


Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics

Celtics: -13 | Over/Under: 226.5

At 7:30 ET, the Celtics will be facing off against the Celtics in an Atlantic Division matchup. The Celtics are favored by 13. The game will be televised on NBCS.

Mikal Bridges, who is averaging 21.9 PPG this season, has a projection of 21 points against the Celtics. The BAKER model has Cam Thomas finishing with 19 points. Jayson Tatum is projected to finish with 47 fantasy points, which includes 26 points and 9 rebounds.

In this matchup, the BAKER projections have the Nets hitting 12 of their 33 three-point attempts and finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 46.5%. The Celtics are expected to hit 16 threes on a shooting percentage of 39.0%. When looking at their assist numbers, the Celtics are projected to finish with 27 assists in the game.

Nets Injury Report

  • Ben Simmons (Out) Injury Management
  • Cameron Johnson (Out) Adductor
  • Dariq Whitehead (Out) Shin

Celtics Injury Report

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Questionable) Back
  • Xavier Tillman Sr. (Out) Left Knee
  • Jaden Springer (Out) Ankle

BAKER Prediction: Celtics 112 – Nets 109


Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Rockets: -3.5 | Over/Under: 220

At FedExForum, the Rockets head into this Southwest Division matchup favored by 3.5. The game is set to start at 8:00 ET and will be televised on BSSE.

In today’s matchup against the Grizzlies, Alperen Sengün is projected to finish with 19 points on 8-of-14 shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 18.3 points per game and also projected to finish with 19 points. On the Grizzlies side, Jaren Jackson Jr. is projected to finish with 39 fantasy points, including 22 points and 6 rebounds.

According to our BAKER projections, the Rockets are expected to shoot 46.7% from the field. We also have them outrebounding the Grizzlies with 40 rebounds compared to the Grizzlies at 35. Against the Rockets, the Grizzlies are projected to shoot 35.5% from three-point range and hit 52.9% on their 34 two-point attempts.

Rockets Injury Report

  • Steven Adams (Out) Knee
  • Reggie Bullock (Questionable) Lower Back
  • Fred VanVleet (Out) Adductor
  • Tari Eason (Out) Leg
  • Cam Whitmore (Out) Ankle

Grizzlies Injury Report

  • Derrick Rose (Questionable) Ankle
  • Marcus Smart (Out) Finger
  • Ja Morant (Out) Shoulder
  • Brandon Clarke (Out) Achilles
  • Desmond Bane (Out) Ankle
  • Ziaire Williams (Questionable) Hand
  • Jake LaRavia (Out) Ankle
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Out) Low Back

BAKER Prediction: Rockets 94 – Grizzlies 81


Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Pelicans

Pelicans: -12.5 | Over/Under: 234.5

In this non-conference matchup, the Wizards (9-44) face off against the Pelicans (32-22) at 8:00 ET in New Orleans. The Pelicans are favored by 12.5.

According to our BAKER projections, the Wizards’ leading scorer is expected to be Kyle Kuzma, who should finish with 21 points and a field goal percentage of 44.4%. Meanwhile, Brandon Ingram, who is averaging 20.4 points on 49.1% shooting at home, is projected to score 22 points on 47.1% shooting vs. the Wizards.

According to the BAKER prediction model, the Wizards are projected to hit 16 out of 20 free-throws and make 13 three-pointers at a clip of 35.1%. On the other side, the BAKER model has the Pelicans taking 28 free-throws and making 21. From the field, the model has the Pelicans shooting 49% and going 49/100.

Wizards Injury Report

  • Isaiah Livers (Out) Hip

Pelicans Injury Report

  • Cody Zeller (Questionable) Knee
  • Zion Williamson (Questionable) Foot
  • Dyson Daniels (Out) Knee

BAKER Prediction: Pelicans 132 – Wizards 112


Bold Bets

Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers

76ers: -3.5 | Over/Under: 223.5

The 76ers and Heat are set to square off at 7:00 ET in the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. The 76ers are favored by 3.5.

Tyler Herro is expected to lead the Heat today with 20 points on 41.2% shooting. This season, he is averaging 20.9 points per contest. As for the 76ers, Tyrese Maxey is expected to finish with 24 points today. He is averaging 25.6 points per contest. His season-long field goal percentage is 44.7%, and he has a true shooting percentage of 57.4%.

The BAKER model predicts that the Miami Heat will record 6 steals and pull down 39 rebounds in this game. The model also has them shooting 46.2% from the field. On the other side, the 76ers are expected to go 28/60 from the field for a shooting percentage of 46.7%. They are also projected to take 13 free throws and make 10.

Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler (Out) Personal
  • Josh Richardson (Out) Shoulder
  • Terry Rozier (Out) Right Knee
  • Dru Smith (Out) Knee

76ers Injury Report

  • Kyle Lowry (Out) Conditioning
  • Nicolas Batum (Out) Hamstring
  • Tobias Harris (Out) Hip
  • Joel Embiid (Out) Knee
  • Robert Covington (Out) Knee
  • De’Anthony Melton (Out) Back

BAKER Prediction: Heat 97 – 76ers 75


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Utah Jazz

Jazz: -5.5 | Over/Under: 236.5

In Salt Lake City, the Jazz are favored by 5.5 points over the Lakers in a Western Conference matchup. The game is scheduled to start at 9:00 ET.

The BAKER predictive model has LeBron James and Anthony Davis both projected to score 20+ points against the Jazz today. James is projected for 24 points while Davis is predicted to finish with 24. On the Jazz side, Lauri Markkanen is projected for 38 fantasy points, which includes 24 points and 8 rebounds.

According to the BAKER model, the Lakers are expected to shoot 48.9% from the field. This includes connecting on 55.2% of their two-point attempts and 36.7% from 3-point range. As for the Jazz, the BAKER model has them making 11 three-pointers at a rate of 33.3%. Additionally, the Jazz are projected to finish with 25 assists against the Lakers.

Lakers Injury Report

  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Out) Foot
  • Gabe Vincent (Out) Knee
  • Cam Reddish (Out) Ankle
  • Max Christie (Out) Ankle

Jazz Injury Report

NoneBAKER Prediction: Lakers 117 – Jazz 111


Bets To Avoid

Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets

Nuggets: -6.5 | Over/Under: 229.5

The Nuggets and Kings are both in 3rd place in their respective divisions, with the Nuggets favored by 6.5 points. The game is set to tip-off at 9:00 ET at Ball Arena in Denver.

The BAKER model has De’Aaron Fox as the Kings’ leading scorer with 25 points on a field goal percentage of 45.0%. As for the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic is projected to finish with 26 points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists. He is followed by Jamal Murray, who is expected to finish with 20 points, just shy of his season average of 20.5 points per game.

According to the BAKER engine, the Kings are expected to shoot 47.2% overall from the field. They are projected to go to the free-throw line 23 times and make 17 of those attempts. Against the Kings, the Nuggets are projected to shoot 37.1% from three and hit 55.7% on their 61 two-point attempts.

Kings Injury Report

  • Trey Lyles (Questionable) Illness
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Out) Ankle

Nuggets Injury Report

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Jamal Murray (Questionable) Leg
  • Vlatko Cancar (Out) Knee
  • Hunter Tyson (Out) Finger

BAKER Prediction: Nuggets 123 – Kings 115


Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors

Pacers: -3.5 | Over/Under: 243.5

Today’s matchup features the Raptors (19-35) and the Pacers (30-25). So far, the Raptors have played their last three games at home. The Pacers are favored by 3.5 and the game can be seen on SN.

The BAKER model has Tyrese Haliburton finishing with 21 points, which is in line with his season average of 21.9 PPG. Pascal Siakam is also projected to score 21 points against the Raptors. Scottie Barnes is expected to contribute 19 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists. RJ Barrett is expected to be the Knicks’ second-leading scorer with 18 points, just below his season average of 19.1 PPG.

In this game, the BAKER prediction model expects the Pacers to make 20 of their 25 free-throw attempts and knock down 13 three-pointers at a rate of 37.1%. The Raptors are expected to make 20 free-throws and hit 13 threes at a rate of 36.1%.

Pacers Injury Report

  • James Johnson (Out) Illness
  • Jalen Smith (Out) Back
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Questionable) Knee

Raptors Injury Report

  • RJ Barrett (Questionable) Personal

BAKER Prediction: Pacers 128 – Raptors 124


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