NBA

NBA Bets For Friday

Friday NBA Picks

Today’s NBA slate of action includes 10 games. Right now, the Thunder are the largest favorite of the day as -14.5 point favorites over the Wizards. On the other end, the closest point spread belongs to a matchup between the Heat and Pelicans, with the Pelicans coming in as -3 point favorites. Out of today’s games, 6 of the 10 games have the home team as the favorite.

Best Bets

Charlotte Hornets vs. Golden State Warriors

Warriors: -12.5 | Over/Under: 229.5

The Hornets and Warriors are both on winning streaks as they face off today. The Hornets are 14-41 and have won four straight, while the Warriors are 28-26 and have won two straight. The game is set for 10:00 ET and can be seen on NBCS.

In today’s matchup, we have Miles Bridges projected to lead the Hornets with 21 points. This season, he is averaging 15.1 points per game on the road. When playing at home, Stephen Curry is averaging 27.2 points on 46.3% shooting. Look for him to shoot 45.0% and put up 28 points against the Hornets.

On defense, the Hornets are projected to finish with 6 steals and pull down 36 rebounds against the Warriors. According to the BAKER model, the Hornets are expected to shoot 46.4% from the field. On the other end, the Warriors are projected to shoot 38.6% from three and 55.0% on their 60 two-point attempts against the Hornets.

Hornets Injury Report

  • LaMelo Ball (Out) Ankle
  • Mark Williams (Out) Back

Warriors Injury Report

  • Chris Paul (Out) Hand
  • Gary Payton II (Out) Illness

BAKER Prediction: Warriors 134 – Hornets 85


Washington Wizards vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder: -14.5 | Over/Under: 241.5

At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (38-17) are looking to extend their three game winning streak against a Wizards team that has lost nine straight. This game can be found on KSBI and the Thunder are 14.5 point favorites.

According to our BAKER projections, Kyle Kuzma is expected to be the top scorer for the Wizards today with 24 points. He is projected to shoot 42.9% from the field. On the other side, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been averaging 31.1 points per game and is projected to finish with 31 points today. He has a season-long field goal percentage of 54.7% and a true shooting percentage of 64.8%.

On the defensive side, the BAKER model has the Wizards finishing with 7 steals and 41 rebounds. Their overall field goal percentage is projected to be 44.8%. The BAKER model has the Thunder taking 30 free-throw attempts and making 24. From the field, the Thunder are expected to go 54/110 for 49.1%.

Wizards Injury Report

  • Isaiah Livers (Out) Hip

Thunder Injury Report

NoneBAKER Prediction: Thunder 146 – Wizards 114


Toronto Raptors vs. Atlanta Hawks

Hawks: -6.5 | Over/Under: 244.5

This Eastern Conference matchup between the Hawks and Raptors is set to take place at 7:30 ET at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. Currently, the Hawks are favored by 6.5 points.

Scottie Barnes is expected to score 19 points against the Hawks. He is currently averaging 20 points per game. The BAKER model also has RJ Barrett finishing with 18 points. Trae Young is projected to put up 27 points, 3 rebounds, and 11 assists. Dejounte Murray is expected to finish with 21 points, which is right around his season average of 21.4 PPG.

When it comes to free-throw attempts, the BAKER engine has the Raptors getting to the line 24 times and making 19. Their field goal percentage for the game is projected to be 46.7. The BAKER model has the Hawks attempting 26 free-throws and making 21. From the field, they are expected to go 47/103 for 45.6%.

Raptors Injury Report

None

Hawks Injury Report

  • Wesley Matthews (Questionable) Illness
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Out) Toe
  • AJ Griffin (Questionable) Illness
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Out) Back

BAKER Prediction: Hawks 130 – Raptors 117


Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Nuggets: -9 | Over/Under: 218

The Nuggets are favored by 9 on the road heading into this matchup in the Northwest Division. The game is scheduled to start at 10:00 ET at Moda Center and will be televised on ROOT.

According to the BAKER predictive model, Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray are projected to score 26 and 22 points, respectively, in today’s game against the Trail Blazers. As for the Trail Blazers, Anfernee Simons is expected to put up 24 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists. Jerami Grant is predicted to finish with 22 points, which is slightly below his season average of 21.7 points per game.

According to the BAKER model, the Nuggets are expected to shoot 48.9% from the field. This includes 55.7% on two-point attempts and 36.4% from three. As for the Trail Blazers, the BAKER model has them finishing with 6 blocks and forcing 7 steals. Their projected field goal percentage is 46.0%.

Nuggets Injury Report

  • Vlatko Cancar (Out) Knee
  • Hunter Tyson (Out) Finger

Trail Blazers Injury Report

  • Malcolm Brogdon (Out) Illness
  • Robert Williams III (Out) Knee
  • Moses Brown (Out) Wrist
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Out) Abdomen
  • Scoot Henderson (Out) Adductor
  • Rayan Rupert (Out) Ankle

BAKER Prediction: Nuggets 121 – Trail Blazers 106


Bold Bets

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves: -4.5 | Over/Under: 225.5

The Bucks and Timberwolves are set to face off at 10:00 ET in a non-conference game in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves are 39-16 while the Bucks are 35-21. Currently, the Timberwolves are favored by 4.5.

According to our BAKER model, Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to be the top scorer for the Bucks with 29 points on 61.1% shooting. As for the Timberwolves, Anthony Edwards is averaging 26.2 points per game and is expected to finish with 27 points today. He has a season-long field goal percentage of 47.1% and a true shooting percentage of 59.1%.

On the defensive end, the BAKER model has the Bucks finishing with 9 steals and 59 rebounds. Their overall shooting percentage is projected to be 47.9%. On the other side, the Timberwolves are expected to shoot 40.0% from three and hit 54.2% on their two-point attempts.

Bucks Injury Report

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable) Knee
  • Khris Middleton (Questionable) Ankle

Timberwolves Injury Report

  • Wendell Moore Jr. (Questionable) Knee
  • Jaylen Clark (Out) Achilles

BAKER Prediction: Bucks 158 – Timberwolves 125


San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Lakers: -9 | Over/Under: 237.5

The Spurs come into this game with a record of 11-45 and are playing their 7th straight game on the road. On the other side, the Lakers are favored by 9 and have a record of 30-27 and sit 9th in the Western Conference. This game will be televised on SN-LA with tip-off set for 10:30 ET.

In today’s game against the Lakers, Devin Vassell is projected to finish with 19 points on 7/15 shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 20.5 points per game and is projected to finish with 18 points today. As for the Lakers, Anthony Davis is projected to finish with 54 fantasy points, which includes 24 points and 13 rebounds.

The BAKER model predicts the Spurs will make 44.9% of their field goal attempts. This includes hitting 52.5% of their two-point shots and 32.4% from the three-point line. When facing the Spurs, the Lakers are expected to make 37.9% of their three-point attempts and hit 54.0% of their two-point shots.

Spurs Injury Report

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (Out) Not With Team
  • Charles Bassey (Out) Left Knee

Lakers Injury Report

  • LeBron James (Out) Ankle
  • Christian Wood (Out) Knee
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Out) Foot
  • Gabe Vincent (Out) Knee
  • Cam Reddish (Out) Ankle
  • Max Christie (Probable) Ankle

BAKER Prediction: Spurs 118 – Lakers 102


Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans

Pelicans: -3 | Over/Under: 222.5

The Heat are 3-point underdogs today and have a record of 30-25. On the other side, the Pelicans are 34-22 and have played their last two games at home. The game can be seen on BSNO.

In today’s game, Jimmy Butler is projected to lead the Heat with 23 points, which is higher than his season average of 21.4. On the road, Butler is averaging 12.3 points per game. On the other side, Zion Williamson is projected to finish with 36 fantasy points, which includes 21 points and 5 boards.

According to the BAKER prediction model, the Heat are expected to go 21/26 from the free-throw line and knock down 13 three-pointers at a clip of 38.2%. As for the Pelicans, the BAKER model has them blocking 4 shots, forcing 7 steals, and limiting the Heat to a field goal percentage of 48.8%.

Heat Injury Report

  • Josh Richardson (Out) Shoulder
  • Terry Rozier (Out) Knee
  • Tyler Herro (Questionable) Foot
  • Dru Smith (Out) Knee

Pelicans Injury Report

  • Brandon Ingram (Out) Illness
  • Dyson Daniels (Out) Knee

BAKER Prediction: Heat 125 – Pelicans 111


Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Cavaliers: -4 | Over/Under: 228

The 76ers head into today’s matchup with a record of 32-23, having played their last two games at home. On the other side, the Cavaliers are favored by 4 and have a record of 36-18. ESPN will have the broadcast for this game.

Darius Garland, who averages 18.2 points per game, is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 19 points on 46.7% shooting. On the other side, Tyrese Maxey averages 25.9 points per game and is projected to finish with 24 points. His season-long field goal percentage is 44.9%, and he has a true shooting percentage of 57.6%.

The BAKER model has the Cavaliers shooting 48.2% from the field, with a two-point shooting percentage of 55.1% and a three-point shooting percentage of 35.3%. On the defensive end, the model has the 76ers finishing with 5 blocks and 8 steals. The 76ers’ projected field goal percentage for the game is 47.7%.

Cavaliers Injury Report

  • Tristan Thompson (Out) Suspension
  • Donovan Mitchell (Out) Illness
  • Ty Jerome (Out) Ankle

76ers Injury Report

  • Joel Embiid (Out) Knee
  • Robert Covington (Out) Knee
  • De’Anthony Melton (Out) Back

BAKER Prediction: 76ers 111 – Cavaliers 106


Phoenix Suns vs. Houston Rockets

Suns: -3.5 | Over/Under: 230

At 8:00 ET, the Suns will face the Rockets in a Western conference matchup at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Suns come into the game as 3.5 point favorites on the road.

The Suns will be led by Kevin Durant, who is averaging 28.1 points per game. He is projected to finish with 27 points on 50.0% shooting. On the other side, Alperen Sengün is expected to contribute 41 fantasy points, which includes 19 points and 9 rebounds.

According to the BAKER engine, the Suns are expected to go to the line 26 times and make 21 of those attempts. Their field goal percentage for the game is projected to be 48.4. The Rockets, on the other hand, are projected to make 35% of their three-point attempts and hit 52.5% of their two-point attempts on 61 tries.

Suns Injury Report

  • Bradley Beal (Out) Hamstring
  • Damion Lee (Out) Knee

Rockets Injury Report

  • Steven Adams (Out) Knee
  • Tari Eason (Out) Leg

BAKER Prediction: Rockets 125 – Suns 124


Bets To Avoid

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Clippers: -9.5 | Over/Under: 223

The Clippers are favored by 9.5 points as they take on the Grizzlies in a Western Conference matchup. The game is set to start at 8:00 ET at Memphis’ FedExForum.

The projected stat lines for the Clippers and Grizzlies are as follows: Kawhi Leonard is projected to finish with 24 points on 9/17 shooting, while Paul George is projected to finish with 22 points. For the Grizzlies, Jaren Jackson Jr. is projected to finish with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists. Santi Aldama is projected to finish with 16 points, which is well above his season average of 10.4 points per game.

The BAKER prediction model has the Clippers making 14 threes (38.9%) and going 23/28 from the free-throw line. On the other side of things, the Grizzlies are projected to shoot 35.3% from three and hit 52.9% of their two-point attempts.

Clippers Injury Report

None

Grizzlies Injury Report

  • Marcus Smart (Out) Finger
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. (Probable) Quadricep
  • Ja Morant (Out) Shoulder
  • Brandon Clarke (Out) Achilles
  • Desmond Bane (Out) Ankle
  • Jake LaRavia (Questionable) Ankle
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Out) Lower Back

BAKER Prediction: Clippers 132 – Grizzlies 125


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