Prop Bets

Monday Night Football Prop Bets For Week 5

Derek Carr

NFL Prop Bets for Monday Night Football

Over the last couple of years, sports gambling has taken off throughout the world. Whether you’re a professional bettor that does this for a living or someone that likes to have a little bit of cash on the game to make it more exciting.  One thing that all sports gamblers have in common, is the love and excitement of betting on stand-alone primetime games.

Tonight, we have a divisional showdown in Kansas City, as the Chiefs host the Las Vegas Raiders.  This game is expected to be high scoring based on the total, which is sitting at 51.5 as I write this article.  Sometimes betting the side or total in a divisional game is a little tricky, that is why we have player props. Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football.  Let’s dive into my favorite player props for Monday Night Football:

Travis Kelce over 70.5 receiving yards (-115)

We all know that Kansas City is one of the most pass-happy teams in the league, when you have Patrick Mahomes under center it’s hard not to be.  On the other end of the spectrum the Raiders are inept against the pass, they rank 22nd in Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).  The Raiders have also allowed the 11th most passing yards per game (253.8).  Mahomes is licking his lips while thinking about this matchup tonight.  So, if we believe that Mahomes is in for a big game, that usually correlates to Travis Kelce also having a big game.  Kelce leads the Chiefs in routes (142), targets (34), receptions (26), and receiving yards (322).  In other words, Mahomes always has his eye on his favorite target, Mr. Kelce.

Derek Carr Passing Touchdowns Over 1.5 (-125)

Carr had no touchdown passes last week against Denver, who is elite at pass defense as they’ve only allowed three passing touchdowns this season.  Kansas City, on the other hand, is tied with the most passing touchdowns allowed with 10.  Every quarterback that has faced them has had two or more TD passes.  Besides the Denver game, Carr has had two TD passes in the other three games, and with this Chiefs team showing so much explosiveness on offense, the Raiders probably won’t want to be settling for field goals as they will need touchdowns.  Expect Carr to come out firing and get two TD passes in this one.

Mack Hollins over 31.5 receiving yards (-115)

Mack Hollins has gone over this number in 3 out of the 4 games played this season. And I know what you’re thinking that Hunter Renfrow missed two of those games.  Well, Hollins played over 80% of snaps even with Renfrow in the lineup. The Chiefs defense just gave up 400 yards and three touchdowns to Tom Brady.  Expect Derek Carr to throw early and often, targeting Hollins along the way.

Isiah Pacheco over 20.5 rushing yards (-139)

I’ve been a big fan of the Chiefs rookie running back this year.  I was on him last week and I am going to continue to back him in this spot.  Pacheco leads Kansas City with six red-zone rushing attempts, and he is coming off a fantastic performance against the Buccaneers that saw him run 11 times for 63 yards.  The Chiefs like to split up their cars, so I am not too worried about Clyde Edwards-Helaire taking all the snaps.  I also am going to sprinkle on Pacheco to score a touchdown at +300.  For someone that has had six red-zone attempts, that price is too good to pass up.

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