Prop Bets Week 15
This week the Los Angeles Rams will travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Rams come into the contest having recorded a rousing 17-16 comeback win over the Las Vegas Raiders over a week ago. It was a contest that marked Baker Mayfield’s debut with the team. The Packers, meanwhile, were off last week after knocking off the Chicago Bears, 28-19, on the road prior to their bye.
While the Packers remain solid home favorites for this matchup, the line has actually narrowed some after the Rams showed some signs of life late under Mayfield in that upset win over the Raiders.
Green Bay was originally a -9 favorite when the line was first released the day before that contest, but the number was immediately bet down to -7.5 last Friday.
This game in September looked a lot more intriguing than where both teams stand today, but that doesn’t mean we can’t profit from it. Let’s dive into our favorite prop bets for tonight.
Ben Skowronek Over 2.5 Receptions (-135)
Ben Skowronek played 100% of the snaps last week and has been on the field for all but two snaps over the last two games He set season-highs in catches (seven) and yards (89) vs. the Raiders last week and was instrumental in the team’s final two drives.
This week, his reception total is set at 2.5 and just -135 to the Over. Green Bay might have a Top-10 DVOA pass defense, but it also allows completions at a Bottom-10 rate.
This is also a Los Angeles offense that ranks 30th in success rate with the run since Week 8. This could create more work for the passing game if the Rams find themselves trailing yet again.
A No. 1 receiver with 100% snap share and coming off a heavily-targeted game with a new QB? Give me Over 2.5 receptions all day.
Cam Akers Under 55.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
I understand many of you might shake your head at this one because of the Packer’s inability to stop the run, but let’s dive a little deeper. Akers has the lowest yards per attempt in the entire NFL in 3.3. He is coming off games against lousy run defenses in Seattle and Vegas – in which he only averaged 3.5 yards per attempt. At this point, the great matchup does not matter as much as some believe. Vegas believes the Rams will be down in this game, which means the Rams will go away from the run sooner than later. Also, Baker Mayfield will now have a full week of practice under his belt, so I believe McVay will feel more comfortable being in a pass-happy approach if need be. We also know that McVay likes to rotate backs, and I simply don’t think Akers will touch the ball enough in this game to get over 55 rushing yards.
Tutu Atwell Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Atwell’s role has expanded with all of the injuries to the Rams receivers, and the speedy wideout has been taking advantage of it over the last two games. He has 14 targets over that stretch and has at least 48 yards in three of his last four contests.
He played a season-high 61% of the snaps in Week 14 and led the Rams in targets with nine. The 23-year-old could see plenty of opportunities to keep the production up with the Rams coming in as 7-point dogs vs. a defense that gives up the fourth-most explosive plays.
Atwell has also been racking up long receptions, as three of his 11 catches have gone for 30-plus yards. His 17.4 air yards per reception ranks as the best mark in football amongst receivers with at least 10 catches.
Bonus Pick: Allen Lazard Anytime Touchdown (+210)
Christian Watson’s emergence in the season the last month has been something special to watch. He will garner a ton of attention because of that, which leaves some potential space for one of Aaron Rodgers’s favorite targets. It’s well known that Rodgers loves targeting Lazard, if possible, I think the Packers could score a lot tonight and because of that, it’s worth sprinkling on Lazard to find the endzone.
Kayvon has always been passionate about sports and in particular the betting side of the sports industry. Now that sports gambling has become so popular, Kayvon spends much of his time studying and researching the industry. He believes it’s imperative to be informed when diving into the gambling side of sports. He also enjoys creating podcasts and videos on all types of sports content, and there is nothing Kayvon loves more than a sports debate!