Miami Dolphins vs Philadelphia Eagles Pick and Preview

Posted on October 20, 2023

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Eagles -2.5 | Total Points: 51.5

Coming into this week 7 non-conference matchup, the Dolphins are in the middle of a two-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 5-1. Taking a look at their latest game, the Dolphins defeated the Panthers by a score of 42-21. Against the spread, the Dolphins’ 21-point win was enough to cover as 14-point favorites. The game’s over/under line was 47 points, leading to the over hitting with a combined 63 points.

Heading into week 7, the Eagles have an above .500 record at 5-1. In their most recent game, the Eagles lost by 20-14 to the Jets. With the 6-point loss to the Jets, the Eagles also took a loss vs. the spread as 6.5-point favorites. The under hit in the Eagles’ most recent game, as the team’s combined for 34 points. The line going into the game was 43.5.

Miami Dolphins vs Philadelphia Eagles History

The last three times that the Dolphins have faced off vs. the Eagles as the underdog, they have gone 2-1. When looking at the last three head-to-head matchups between the Dolphins and Eagles, only 3 points per game has separated the teams, with the Dolphins going 2-1 vs. the spread.

In their last five road games, Miami has averaged 26 points per game while allowing 31. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 4-1.
The Eagles are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Eagles have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Notable Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Alec Ingold – Foot (Questionable)
Kader Kohou – Neck (Questionable)
Andrew Van Ginkel – Illness (Questionable)
Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
De’Von Achane – Knee (Out)
Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Out)
Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
Terron Armstead – Knee (Out)
Xavien Howard – Groin (Questionable)
Jalen Ramsey – Knee (Questionable)
Connor Williams – Groin (Questionable)
River Cracraft – Shoulder (Out)
Nik Needham – Achilles (Questionable)
Jeff Wilson Jr. – Finger (Questionable)
Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)

Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith – Hamstring (Questionable)
Milton Williams – Ankle (Questionable)
Isaiah Rodgers Sr. – Suspension (Out)
Quez Watkins – Hamstring (Out)
Shaun Bradley – Achilles (Out)
Cam Jurgens – Foot (Out)
Reed Blankenship – Ribs (Out)
Bradley Roby – Shoulder (Out)
Darius Slay – Knee (Probable)
Roderick Johnson – Undisclosed (Out)
Justin Evans – Knee (Out)
Avonte Maddox – Pectoral (Out)

Keys To Victory: Miami Dolphins

Offensively, the Dolphins have an average of 37.2 points per game, which is 1st in the NFL. Tua Tagovailoa, the quarterback for the game, holds the 1st rank among quarterbacks in passing yards. His passer rating, 114.1, positions him at 2nd within his position. His completion rate stands at 71.1%. This season, the Dolphins offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 28 yards per game, placing them 1st in the NFL.

Keys To Victory: Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia gets set to take on the Miami defense averaging 25.8 points per game. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles passing game figures to be a key part of the gameplan as the team is throwing the ball at a rate above the league average. For the season, Hurts has thrown for 1542 yards through the air and has Philadelphia sitting 9th in passing yards per game. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver A.J. Brown who through 6 games, has 672 receiving yards this season. Philadelphia comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 4.3 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 2nd in yards per game on the ground.

Betting Trends

When looking at their past three road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Across their ten previous home games, Philadelphia has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 26 points per game.
Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Dolphins have a straight-up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Eagles have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-2-1.