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Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions Pick and Preview

Jared Goff 1

NFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Lions -3 | Total Points: 51.5

As the Rams prepare for this NFC matchup, the team has an overall record of 10-7. This includes riding a current four-game winning streak. Against NFC opponents, they have a record of 8-4. During their last game, the Rams came out on top against the 49ers, finishing with a score of 21-20. Going into the game, the Rams were actually 5.5-point underdogs. This resulted in an ATS win for the Rams. The over/under line for the game was 40 points, and the combined total points scored went over, reaching 41 points.

Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Rams, the Lions have an above .500 record at 12-5. The Lions hosted the Vikings in week 18. The Lions finished the game with a 30-20 win. Detroit was favored by 3.5 against the Vikings and notched an ATS victory. The over/under line for the game was 47.5 points, and the teams managed to surpass it, recording a combined total of 50 points.

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions History

The last three times that the Lions have faced off vs. the Rams as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. It is worth noting that even though the Lions have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in the three most recent matchups vs. the Rams, they are just 1-2 the last three times they hosted the Rams.

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Rams have a straight-up record of 5-5 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 22 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across their last five home contests, Detroit has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 27 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Rams have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lions have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Notable Injuries

Los Angeles Rams

  • Hunter Long – Thigh (Out)
  • Ochaun Mathis – Knee (Out)
  • Cooper Kupp – Hamstring (Out)

Detroit Lions

  • Julian Okwara – Arm (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
  • Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
  • Jameson Williams – Suspension (Out)
  • Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
  • Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)

Keys To Victory: Los Angeles Rams

In what is projected to be a tightly contested game, Matthew Stafford will be looking to put together a strong performance for a Los Angeles offense ranked 8th in points per game. For the season, Stafford is averaging 264 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 11th among quarterbacks. Stafford comes in with a passer rating of 92.5 and is averaging 12.2 yards per completion. Puka Nacua has been targeted 160 times and has caught 105 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 1486 receiving yards. The Rams are running the ball an average of 28.1 times per game and currently hold the 11th rank in rushing yards. Per attempt, they are averaging 4.3 yards.

Keys To Victory: Detroit Lions

Against Los Angeles, the Lions will be on the attack in the passing game, as they are throwing the ball an average of 35.6 times per contest. Their preference to air the ball out has led to the team ranking 5th in points per game (27.1). Jared Goff comes into the game with 4575 passing yards on a completion percentage of 67.3%. Wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown is pacing the Lions with 1515 receiving yards. Overall he has 119 catches on 164 targets. A key to the team’s offensive success is their effectiveness on the ground. On the season, the Detroit offense is 5th in rush yards per attempt. This figure has led to an average of 135.9 yards per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Rams are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last five home games, Detroit has averaged 27 points per game while allowing 27. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • As the betting underdog, the Rams have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Los Angeles posted a straight-up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lions have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Prediction

  • Detroit Lions 25 – Los Angeles Rams 23
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