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Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Pick and Preview

travis kelce

AFC West Divisional Matchup

Point Spread: Chiefs -10 | Total Points: 41.5

Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Chiefs, the Raiders have a below .500 record at 6-8. The Raiders came out on top in their last contest against the Chargers, winning with a final score of 63-21. Since they were favored by 3 against the Chargers, the Raiders secured an ATS victory. The over/under line for their game vs. 36 points, which the teams exceeded with a combined 84 points.

Heading into week 16, the Chiefs have a record of 9-5. In their most recent game, the Chiefs picked up a 27-17 win over the Patriots. The Chiefs’ 10-point win was not enough to cover the spread, as they were 10-point favorites. Each side finished with an ATS push. Combining for 44 points with New England, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 39.5.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs History

The Chiefs are hoping to build off last year’s success over the Raiders as they went 2-0 in their head-to-head meetings. The Raiders and Chiefs split their games vs. the spread last season. Together, they combined to average 51.5 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 1-1. The Chiefs had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 358.5 yards of offense compared to the Raiders at 328.5.

When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chiefs have the leg up at 3-0. The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 49 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

Notable Injuries

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Josh Jacobs – Quad (Questionable)
  • Andre James – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Austin Walter – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Brandon Facyson – Shin (Questionable)
  • Kolton Miller – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Dalton Wagner – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Brittain Brown – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kana’i Mauga – Knee (Out)
  • Darien Butler – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Maxx Crosby – Knee (Questionable)
  • Justin Herron – Knee (Questionable)
  • Robert Spillane – Illness (Questionable)
  • DJ Turner – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Michael Mayer – Toe (Questionable)
  • Dylan Parham – Illness (Questionable)

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Nick Bolton – Wrist/abdomen (Questionable)
  • Travis Kelce – Neck (Probable)
  • Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Questionable)
  • Justin Reid – Knee (Probable)
  • L’Jarius Sneed – Knee (Probable)
  • Kadarius Toney – Hip (Questionable)
  • Trey Smith – Hip (Probable)
  • Rashee Rice – Hamstring (Probable)
  • Wanya Morris – Hip (Probable)
  • Chris Jones – Illness (Questionable)
  • Bryan Cook – Ankle (Out)
  • Isiah Pacheco – Shoulder (Probable)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Gerrit Prince – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Skyy Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Questionable)
  • Donovan Smith – Neck (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Las Vegas Raiders

If the Raiders are going to pull off the win as the underdog, they will be looking for a big game out of quarterback Aidan O’Connell and the league’s 22nd-ranked scoring offense. This season, he has completed 63.1% of his passes, leading an average of 201 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 30th among QB’s in passing yards and 29th in attempts. Davante Adams has been targeted 140 times this season, and has caught 84 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 968 receiving yards. So far, the Raiders have run the ball an average of 23.4 times per game and currently hold the 32nd spot in rushing yards. On a per-attempt basis, they average 3.5 yards, which is 30th.

Keys To Victory: Kansas City Chiefs

So far this season, the Kansas City offense has been averaging 22.8 points per game, ranking them 10th in the league. Taking the field as the starting quarterback for the Chiefs is Patrick Mahomes. So far, he has completed 67.4% of his passes and is currently 4th among quarterbacks in passing yards. His current passer rating is 93.2. This season, the Chiefs have put together a strong offense despite sitting below the league average in both rush yards and attempts.

Betting Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Raiders have a straight-up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 13 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last ten home games, Kansas City has an ATS record of just 5-4-1. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Raiders have a straight-up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Chiefs have a straight-up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.


  • Kansas City Chiefs 28 – Las Vegas Raiders 19
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