Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Pick and Preview

Posted on November 24, 2023

AFC West Divisional Matchup

Point Spread: Chiefs -9 | Total Points: 43

Heading into the game, the Chiefs are the 2nd ranked team in the AFC with a record of 7-3. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 5-1. This week, the Chiefs will look to bounce back from a 21-17 loss to the Eagles. Besides their loss in the game, the Chiefs couldn’t cover the spread despite being 3-point favorites. The over/under line for their most recent game against Philadelphia was 46. Finishing with a combined total of 38 points, the under hit in this matchup.

Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Chiefs, the Raiders have a below .500 record at 5-6. The Raiders took on the Dolphins in week 11, but they fell short, losing by a score of 20-13. Despite a straight-up loss, the Raiders were able to keep things closer than expected as they were 14-point underdogs before kickoff. The under hit in the Raiders’ most recent game, as the teams combined for 33 points. The line going into the game was 44.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders History

In their two head-to-head matchups last season, the Chiefs went 2-0. Together, the Chiefs and Raiders averaged 51.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, they each went 1-1. In these head-to-head matchups, the Chiefs’ offense averaged 358.5 yards per game compared to the Raiders at 328.5.

The Chiefs and Raiders did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Chiefs have a record of 3-0. The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 53 points per game leading, to an over/under record of 2-1.

Notable Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Questionable)
Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Questionable)
Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
Nick Bolton – Wrist (Out)
Justyn Ross – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
Cole Christiansen – Hamstring (Out)
Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)

Las Vegas Raiders

Austin Walter – Undisclosed (Out)
Marcus Epps – Neck (Questionable)
Roderic Teamer – Hamstring (Questionable)
Darien Butler – Undisclosed (Out)
Kolton Miller – Shoulder (Questionable)
Brandon Facyson – Shin (Out)
Robert Spillane – Ankle (Questionable)
Maxx Crosby – Knee (Questionable)
Tre’Von Moehrig – Back (Questionable)
Jack Jones – Knee/hip (Questionable)
Dalton Wagner – Undisclosed (Out)
Kana’i Mauga – Knee (Out)
Brittain Brown – Undisclosed (Out)

Keys To Victory: Kansas City Chiefs

This season, the Kansas City offense has an average of 22.5 points, placing them 12th in the league. A strength of this year’s team has been their offensive line, as they have only allowed sacks on 3.3% of the team’s passing attempts. This strong protection has helped the team average 255.2 yards per game through the air. Looking at their ground game, the Chiefs have been carrying the ball an average of 25.6 times per game and are 14th in rushing yards. They have an average of 4.2 yards per rushing attempt.

Keys To Victory: Las Vegas Raiders

As the Raiders prepare to take on Kansas City, they are looking to build on their success in the passing game. Aidan O’Connell has the team ranked 23rd in passing yards per game and is ranked 32nd among quarterbacks in yards through the air. What makes their production in the passing game impressive is that they are averaging just 32.3 attempts per game. Las Vegas will need to continue getting receiver Davante Adams involved, as he has caught 64 balls for a total of 741 receiving yards so far this year. If the Raiders are going to turn things around on offense, they would benefit from improving their numbers on the ground. So far, Las Vegas is ranked just 26th in attempts and 30th in yards.

Betting Trends

In their last five road games, Kansas City has averaged 22 points per game while allowing 21. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
Through their last five home contests, the Raiders offense has averaged 13 points per game while allowing an average of 27. Las Vegas posted an overall record of 0-5 while going 1-4 ATS.
As the betting underdog, the Raiders have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Las Vegas posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.