Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers Pick and Preview

Posted on December 1, 2023

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Chiefs -6 | Total Points: 42.5

Coming into this week’s non-conference matchup vs the Packers, the Chiefs have an above .500 record at 8-3. The Chiefs took on the Raiders in week 12, winning by a score of 31-17. Kansas City was favored by 9 against the Raiders and notched an ATS victory. The over/under line for the game was 42.5 points, and the teams managed to surpass it, recording a combined total of 48 points.

Green Bay will be looking to add to their current two-game winning streak but still have a below .500 record of 5-6. The Packers are coming off a successful game, where they beat the Lions with a score of 29-22. In addition to winning straight-up, the Packers covered the spread as 8.5-point underdogs. The game’s over/under line stood at 47 points, and the final score exceeded this mark, reaching a combined 51 points.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers History

Last season, the Chiefs and Packers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Packers have the leg up at 2-1. The Packers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

Kansas City has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 22 points per game while allowing 20. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
Through their last three home games, Green Bay has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 21 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Packers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Green Bay posted a straight-up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
The last three games that Kansas City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Notable Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
Cole Christiansen – Hamstring (Out)
Nick Bolton – Wrist (Questionable)
Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
Justyn Ross – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Questionable)
Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Out)

Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave – Kidney (Out)
Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Out)
Kenny Clark – Shoulder (Questionable)
Rashan Gary – Shoulder (Questionable)
AJ Dillon – Groin (Questionable)
Robert Rochell – Calf (Questionable)
Jayden Reed – Chest (Questionable)
Darnell Savage – Calf (Questionable)
Josiah Deguara – Hip (Questionable)
Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Questionable)
Dontayvion Wicks – Knee (Questionable)
Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
Aaron Jones – Knee (Questionable)
Jaire Alexander – Shoulder (Questionable)
Rudy Ford – Biceps/groin (Questionable)
De’Vondre Campbell – Neck (Questionable)
David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)

Keys To Victory: Kansas City Chiefs

Regarding their offense, the Chiefs have an average of 23.3 points per game, which places them 9th in the NFL. Kansas City will look to continue executing well in the passing attack, as they currently ranked 7th in the league in yards per game. This has come while dropping back to pass at a rate of 37.9 times per contest. When it comes to rushing, the Chiefs are averaging 4.1 yards per attempt while running the ball an average of 25.4 times per game. At 106.5 rushing yards per contest, they are 16th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Green Bay Packers

The Packers will be looking for quarterback Jordan Love to continue the team’s efficient play in the passing game. Overall, Green Bay is averaging 21 points per game, placing them 15th in the league. Compared to other quarterbacks, Love is ranked 13th in passing yards while completing 60.5% of his passes. Wide receiver Jayden Reed is pacing the Packers with 497 receiving yards. Overall, he has 36 catches on 59 targets. Green Bay have managed to find success on offense, even though they are ranked just 20th in rush yards per game. However, this lack of production has more to do with limited opportunites, as they are a below-average group in attempts.

Betting Trends

Kansas City has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 21 points per game while allowing 18. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
Although Green Bay has a straight-up record of 1-4 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 20 points per game in these games.
As the betting underdog, the Packers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Green Bay posted a straight-up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
As the betting favorite, the Chiefs have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Kansas City posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.