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Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Pick and Preview

Lamar Jackson

AFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Ravens -4 | Total Points: 44.5

Coming into this Conference Championship AFC matchup, the Chiefs are in the middle of a two-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 11-6. In their previous game, the Chiefs secured a victory against the Bills on a score of 27-24. Heading into the game, the Chiefs were 2.5-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. With a set over/under line of 46 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 51 points, surpassing the betting line.

Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Chiefs, the Ravens have an above .500 record at 13-4. In their last game, the Ravens came out on top against the Texans, winning by a score of 34-10. Being favored by 10 points against the Texans, the Ravens came through with an ATS win. In their game vs. Houston, the Ravens and Texans both ended with an over/under push. The line going into the game was 44.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens History

The Chiefs and Ravens did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Chiefs have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread, the Ravens went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 62 points per game.

  • In their last five road games, Kansas City has averaged 23 points per game while allowing 19. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home games, Baltimore has an ATS record of just 8-2. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 22 points per game.
  • Kansas City has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Ravens have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Notable Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Richie James – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Bolton – Ankle (Out)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Suspension (Out)

Baltimore Ravens

  • Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)
  • J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
  • Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
  • Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
  • Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
  • Marcus Williams – Pectoral (Out)
  • Odell Beckham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
  • Ronnie Stanley – Knee (Out)
  • Marlon Humphrey – Foot (Out)
  • Tyler Linderbaum – Ankle (Out)
  • Damarion Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
  • Keaton Mitchell – Shoulder (Out)
  • Ar’Darius Washington – Chest (Out)
  • Justice Hill – Foot (Out)
  • Odafe Oweh – Ankle (Out)

Keys To Victory: Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City’s offense is 14th in the league, with an average of 22.3 points per contest. Not only is the Chiefs passing attack among the league leaders in yards per game, but they have also been efficient with their attempts. This season, they are ranked 10th in passing completion percentage at 66.3%. On a per-attempt basis, the Chiefs average 4.3 yards while carrying the ball an average of 25 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 17th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens offense has had a good year so far, averaging 28.7 points per game, which is 2nd compared to other NFL teams. Heading into week 3, Baltimore ranks 30th in passing attempts and is averaging 7.4 yards per attempt (3). With 208.8 passing yards per game, they hold the 21st spot in the league. This season, the Ravens offense is handing the ball off at one of the higher rates in the NFL. This has translated to an average of 32.4 yards per game, placing them 1st in the NFL.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 3-1-1 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Ravens have a straight-up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 22 points per game in these contests.
  • The last ten games that Kansas City was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 8-2 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Ravens have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 5-0.


  • Baltimore Ravens 24 – Kansas City Chiefs 23
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