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Jets at Seahawks Pick and Preview For Week 17

Geno Smith

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks Pick and Preview

Non-Conference NFL Matchup

Point Spread: Seahawks +1.5 | Total Points: 42.5

Jets come into this week’s game having lost 4 straight games, leading to an overall record of just 7-8. They will look to get back on track in a non-conference matchup vs the Seahawks. The Jets will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 19-3 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. By dropping the game, the team also failed to cover the spread, as they had a -2.5 advantage on the spread. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 36.

As the Seahawks prepare for their matchup against New York, they have an overall record of 7-8 and are in the midst of 3 game losing streak. In week 16, the Seattle Seahawks dropped a non-conference matchup against the Chiefs by a score of 24-10. Not only did Seattle lose the game, but they also failed to cover the spread. Going into the game, the team was 10.0 point underdogs. With an over-under betting line of 50, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 34.

Jets vs Seahawks History

The two teams did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season. In the last 3 games between New York and Seattle, the Seahawks have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 22 points per contest. Across the last 3 head-to-head matchups, Seattle is averaging 31 points compared to New York at 9.

The last 3 times that the Jets have traveled to take on Seattle, they have not fared well going 0-3. In terms of betting, Seattle holds a recent edge vs the spread, going 4-1 in the previous 5 meetings. These games have finished with an average point total of 37, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Notable Injuries

New York Jets

  • Denzel Mims (Concussion) Questionable
  • Jeff Smith (Knee) Questionable
  • Lamarcus Joyner (Hip) Questionable
  • Cedric Ogbuehi (Groin) Questionable
  • Duane Brown (Shoulder) Questionable
  • George Fant (Knee) Questionable
  • Mike White (Rib) Probable
  • Brandin Echols (Quadriceps) Questionable

Seattle Seahawks

  • Abraham Lucas (Knee) Questionable
  • Isaiah Dunn (Hamstring) Questionable
  • Al Woods (Achilles) Probable
  • Bruce Irvin (Knee) Questionable
  • Marquise Goodwin (Shoulder/wrist) Questionable
  • Nick Bellore (Illness) Questionable
  • Noah Fant (Knee) Questionable
  • DeeJay Dallas (Ankle) Questionable
  • Kenneth Walker III (Ankle) Questionable
  • Tyler Lockett (Hand) Questionable
  • Travis Homer (Ankle) Questionable
  • Ryan Neal (Knee) Questionable

Keys To Victory: New York Jets

New York gets set to take on the Seahawks averaging 18.9 points per game. Mike White and the Jets’ passing game figures to be a key part of the game plan, as the team is throwing the ball at a rate above the league average. For the season, White has thrown for 952 yards through the air and has New York sitting 14th in passing yards per game. New York will need to continue getting receiver Garrett Wilson involved, as he has caught 59.7% of the passes thrown his way for a total of 996 receiving yards.

In terms of production in the run game, the Jets are 24th in rush yards per contest. However, they have a good matchup against a Seattle defense, giving up 155.5 yards per game on the ground. Zonovan Knight is projected to receive a majority of the carries for the team and is averaging 3.9 yards per attempt.

Keys To Victory: Seattle Seahawks

Compared to other NFL teams, the Seahawks’ offense has performed well this year, averaging 24.3 points per game (10th). Even with their strong offensive numbers, the team has a negative scoring differential of -0.93 points per game. So far, the Seahawks have been one of the best passing units in the NFL, averaging 238.7 yards per game through the air. However, if they are going to maintain their usual level of production, they will need to do so against a Jets defense that has been strong against the pass. Quarterback Geno Smith has put together one of the stronger passer ratings among quarterbacks at 102.9. This figure has led to a passing total of 3886 yards for Smith. Against the Jets, he will need to be on top of his game vs the league’s 5th-ranked passing defense. Going into the game, the team’s leader in receiving yards is DK Metcalf, who has caught 67.2% of the balls thrown his way for a total of 1005 yards.

This week, don’t expect the Seahawks to find much success on the ground, as they are not only one of the worst rushing teams in the NFL, but they have a tough matchup against a Jets defense giving up just 113.9 yards per game against the run. An area of concern for the Seahawks will be if their top running back Kenneth Walker III is able to play, as he is listed as questionable on the injury report. This year, Walker III has rushed 803 yards while averaging 4.6 yards per attempt.

Betting Trends

  • New York is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
  • New York is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
  • New York is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
  • New York is 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Prediction

Despite all the issues as of late, going 1-6 in their last 7 games, we like the Seahawks this week. It’s now or never with this team. Seattle can’t afford another loss if they hope to make the postseason. The 12th man will be loud as ever trying to snap their home losing streak.

Seahawks 26-24

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