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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick and Preview

Trevor Lawrence 1

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Buccaneers -3 | Total Points: 41

Jacksonville comes into this AFC matchup in the midst of a three-game losing streak. Currently, the team is 4th in the AFC and have a Conference record of 6-5. After dropping their last game to the Ravens by a score of 23-7, they are looking to bounce back with a win this week. The Jaguars had a 16-point loss, resulting in a defeat on their ATS record. They were 4-point underdogs going into the game. Going into the game vs. Baltimore, the over/under line was 42.5. With a combined total of 30 points, the under hit in this game.

Coming into this week’s matchup, the Buccaneers have rattled off three straight wins, helping them get back to .500 (7-7). In their most recent matchup, the Buccaneers secured a win against the Packers with a final score of 34-20. Going into the game, the Buccaneers were actually 3.5-point underdogs. This resulted in an ATS win for the Buccaneers. Combining for 54 points with Green Bay, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 41.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers History

Last season, the Jaguars and Buccaneers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Buccaneers have the leg up at 2-1. The Buccaneers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 53 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

  • Across the Jaguars’ last ten road games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 18. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 9-1, while going 8-2 straight-up.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Buccaneers offense has averaged 23 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Tampa Bay posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • The last five games that Jacksonville was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 4-5-1.

Notable Injuries

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Zay Jones – Knee/hamstring (Questionable)
  • Christian Kirk – Groin (Out)
  • Cam Robinson – Knee (Out)
  • Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Trevor Lawrence – Ankle/concussion (Questionable)
  • Tyson Campbell – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Andre Cisco – Groin (Questionable)
  • Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
  • Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
  • Brenton Strange – Foot (Questionable)
  • Christian Braswell – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Ezra Cleveland – Knee (Questionable)
  • Walker Little – Hamstring (Questionable)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Mike Greene – Calf (Out)
  • Vita Vea – Toe (Probable)
  • Chris Godwin – Knee (Questionable)
  • William Gholston – Knee/ankle (Questionable)
  • Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
  • Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
  • Rakim Jarrett – Quad (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Jacksonville Jaguars

Among NFL teams, the Jaguars offense is ranking well, averaging 22.8 points per game, which is 10th in the league. Jacksonville’s passing offense, heading into this week’s game, holds the 9th ranking in passing yards. In terms of attempts, they are 7th, with an average of 36.4 passes per game. On the ground, the Jacksonville offense is among the league leaders in attempts, at 27.3 per game. However, this has not translated into enough success, as they are just the 26th-ranked team in yards.

Keys To Victory: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

At home, the Buccaneers are averaging 16.3 points per contest compared to their overall numbers of 21.1 points per game. In the league, Tampa Bay is 18th in overall scoring. An interesting note heading into the game is the fact that Tampa Bay is a below-average unit in passing yards per game. Yet, they have put together one of the better yards per completion figures in the NFL at 10.6 YPC. In terms of rushing, the Buccaneers are averaging 25.6 rushing attempts per game, placing them 29th for rushing yards. They have an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt.

Betting Trends

  • The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Jaguars have a straight-up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Tampa Bay has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 8-2 straight up.


  • Jacksonville Jaguars 23 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20
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