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Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals Pick and Preview

JaMarr Chase

AFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Bengals -2 | Total Points: 43.5

Overall, the Colts have an above .500 record at 7-5. Helping their cause is the fact that they are in the midst of a four game winning streak. In AFC action, the team is 5-3. The Colts came out on top in their last contest against the Titans, winning with a final score of 31-28. Given that they were favored by 1 against the Titans, the Colts picked up an ATS win. The over/under line for the game was 42 points, and the combined total points scored went over, reaching 59 points.

Coming into this week’s AFC matchup vs the Colts, the Bengals have a .500 record at 6-6. In the most recent game they played, the Bengals picked up a win over the Jaguars by a score of 34-31. In addition to winning the game, the Bengals managed to cover the spread as 10-point underdogs. With a set over/under line of 41 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 65 points, surpassing the betting line.

Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals History

In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Bengals are averaging 28 points per game, compared to the Colts at 25. These figures have led to Cincinnati posting a record of 2-1.

  • Across the Colt’s last ten road games, the team averaged 23 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • The Bengals are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Colts have a straight-up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • The Bengals have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Notable Injuries

Indianapolis Colts

  • Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
  • Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
  • KJ Hamler – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jonathan Taylor – Thumb (Doubtful)
  • Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
  • Braden Smith – Knee (Questionable)
  • Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
  • Al-Quadin Muhammad – Suspension (Out)
  • DeForest Buckner – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Tyquan Lewis – Ankle (Questionable)
  • E.J. Speed – Knee (Questionable)
  • Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
  • Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
  • Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
  • JuJu Brents – Quadriceps (Questionable)
  • Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
  • Ameer Speed – Hip (Questionable)

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Devonnsha Maxwell – Knee (Out)
  • Jonah Williams – Back (Questionable)
  • Chase Brown – Hamstring (Probable)
  • Tyler Boyd – Ankle (Questionable)
  • D’Ante Smith – Personal (Questionable)
  • DJ Turner II – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Joe Burrow – Wrist (Out)
  • Devin Cochran – Knee (Out)
  • Jaxson Kirkland – Wrist (Out)
  • Cam Taylor-Britt – Quad (Out)
  • Tycen Anderson – Knee (Out)

Keys To Victory: Indianapolis Colts

On offense, the Colts are ranked 8th in the league at 25 points per game. They will need a strong offensive performance in order to pull out the win as 2-point underdogs. For the season, Gardner Minshew is averaging 207 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 22nd among quarterbacks. Minshew comes in with a passer rating of 83.8 and is averaging 10.7 yards per completion. Against the Bengals, the team will look to get receiver Michael Pittman Jr. involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 10.6 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 889. Indianapolis comes in with an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and have an average of 28 attempts per game. In terms of total rushing yards, they are currently ranked 12th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals are currently averaging 20.5 points per contest while being one of the more pass-heavy teams in the NFL, at 4th attempts per game. Jake Browning is 39th among QB’s in passing yards and has a season-long passer rating of 107.3. As a team, Cincinnati is just 17th in passing yards per game. Cincinnati will need to continue getting receiver Ja’Marr Chase involved, as he has caught 86 balls for a total of 1063 receiving yards so far this year. A major problem for this year’s Cincinnati offense is their lack of production in the run game. Per attempt, the team is averaging just 3.8 yards per attempt. Overall, they are the 32nd-ranked team in yards per game.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Indianapolis has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Cincinnati has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 24 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Colts have a straight-up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • The Bengals have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.


  • Cincinnati Bengals 22 – Indianapolis Colts 21
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