Game Preview

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons Pick and Preview

Michael Pittman

Non Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Falcons -2.5 | Total Points: 44.5

Heading into the game, the Colts are the 7th ranked team in the AFC with a record of 8-6. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 6-4. The Colts came out on top in their last contest against the Steelers, winning with a final score of 30-13. Against the spread, the Colts’ 17-point win was enough to cover as a 1-point favorite. The game had an over/under line of 41.5 points, and both teams went beyond it, scoring a combined total of 43 points.

This week, the Falcons will look to snap their current two-game losing streak with a victory over the Colts. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 6-8. Taking a look at their last game, the Falcons suffered a 9-7 loss to the Panthers. Besides their straight-up loss, the Falcons also failed to cover the spread as 3-point favorites. In the Falcons’ most recent game, the under bettors finished with the win as the teams combined for 16 points. The pre-game line was set at 32.5.

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons History

The Colts and Falcons did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Colts have a record of 2-1. The Colts also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 44 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

  • Indianapolis has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 18 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • In their last five games at home, the Falcons have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 16 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Colts have a straight-up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
  • As the betting favorite, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 2-8 in their last ten games. Atlanta posted a straight-up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.

Notable Injuries

Indianapolis Colts

  • Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
  • Segun Olubi – Hip (Questionable)
  • Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
  • Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
  • Isaiah McKenzie – Suspension (Out)
  • Tony Brown – Suspension (Out)
  • Matt Gay – Right Hip (Questionable)
  • Jack Anderson – Illness (Questionable)
  • Eric Johnson II – Ankle (Probable)
  • Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
  • Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
  • Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
  • KJ Hamler – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Zack Moss – Arm (Questionable)
  • Michael Pittman Jr. – Concussion (Probable)
  • Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
  • Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
  • Braden Smith – Knee (Questionable)
  • Al-Quadin Muhammad – Suspension (Out)
  • Derek Rivers – Undisclosed (Out)

Atlanta Falcons

  • Drew Dalman – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jake Matthews – Knee (Questionable)
  • Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
  • Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
  • Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
  • Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
  • Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
  • Chris Lindstrom – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Kaleb McGary – Knee (Questionable)
  • Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
  • Kentavius Street – Shoulder (Out)
  • Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
  • David Onyemata – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Bud Dupree – Back (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis’ offense is 8th in the league, with an average of 24.6 points per contest. Not only is the team struggling to pick up yards through the air, but they have also struggled to use the pass to move the chains. For the year, Indianapolis is just 18th in the NFL in 3rd downs converted in the passing game. The Colts hold the 13th position in the NFL with 114.7 rushing yards per game. This average has come on an average of 27.7 rushing attempts (11th).

Keys To Victory: Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta offense will be looking to turn things around, as they are averaging just 18.4 points per game on average. In the league rankings, this has them 24th. Atlanta’s passing attack comes into this week’s game ranked both 23rd in passing yards and attempts, throwing the ball an average of 30.7 times per game. The team has had their problems on offense despite being one of the better rushing units in the NFL. On the season, Atlanta is averaging 126.4 yards per game on the ground, good for 9th in the league.

Betting Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Indianapolis has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 22 points per game.
  • Through their last ten home games, Atlanta has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 13 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Colts have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Indianapolis posted a straight-up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Falcons have a straight-up record of 1-4. But their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.


  • Indianapolis Colts 20 – Atlanta Falcons 19
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