NFL

Houston Texans vs Carolina Panthers Pick and Preview

Dalton Schultz

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Texans -3.5 | Total Points: 43.5

Coming into this week’s non-conference matchup vs the Panthers, the Texans have a .500 record at 3-3. In their most recent game, the Texans beat the Saints by a score of 20-13. Heading into the game, the Texans were 2.5-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. The over/under line for their most recent game against New Orleans was 42. Finishing with a combined total of 33 points, the under hit in this matchup.

Going into their week 8 matchup against Houston, the Panthers still do not have a victory with a record of 0-6. In their most recent game, the Panthers lost by 42-21 to the Dolphins. With their 21-point loss, the Panthers also were handed a defeat on their ATS record. Going into the game, they were 14-point underdogs. The game’s over/under line stood at 47 points, and the final score exceeded this mark, reaching a combined 63 points.

Houston Texans vs Carolina Panthers History

Last season, the Texans and Panthers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Panthers have the leg up at 3-0. The Panthers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 33 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 0-2-1.

  • Although Houston has a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 20 points per game in these games.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Carolina has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 20 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Panthers have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Carolina posted a straight-up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Texans have a straight-up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.

Notable Injuries

Houston Texans

  • Hassan Ridgeway – Calf (Questionable)
  • Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
  • Derek Stingley Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
  • Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
  • Tytus Howard – Hand (Questionable)
  • Robert Woods – Foot (Questionable)
  • Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Questionable)
  • Sheldon Rankins – Knee (Questionable)
  • Brevin Jordan – Foot (Questionable)
  • Xavier Hutchinson – Foot (Probable)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
  • Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)

Carolina Panthers

  • Laviska Shenault Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Giovanni Ricci – Shoulder (Out)
  • Marquis Haynes Sr. – Back (Out)
  • Ian Thomas – Calf (Out)
  • Frankie Luvu – Hip (Questionable)
  • Xavier Woods – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Vonn Bell – Quadriceps (Questionable)
  • Shaq Thompson – Leg (Out)
  • Henry Anderson – Foot (Out)
  • Yetur Gross-Matos – Hamstring (Out)
  • Jeremy Chinn – Quad (Out)
  • Brady Christensen – Bicep (Out)
  • Jaycee Horn – Hamstring (Out)
  • Taylor Moton – Knee (Questionable)
  • Austin Corbett – Knee (Questionable)
  • Stephen Sullivan – Illness (Probable)
  • Brian Burns – Elbow (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Houston Texans

Regarding their offense, the Texans have an average of 22.5 points per game, which places them 12th in the NFL. In the passing attack, Houston is not only racking up yards at a rate of 258.5 per game. But they are also moving the ball through the air at critical moments, ranking 2nd in first downs coming through the pass. The Texans have been running the ball an average of 27.8 times per game and currently hold the 25th spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 3.1.

Keys To Victory: Carolina Panthers

If the Panthers are going to come away with a win, they would benefit from putting together a better offensive performance than their season average of just 18.7 points per game. Carolina currently sits 1st in passing attempts and has an average of 4.9 yards per attempt (21). They are also ranked 24th in the league with 196.7 passing yards per game. A major reason for the team’s lack of offense is their inability to generate production with the rushing attack. Heading into today’s game, the team’s below-average number of rush attempts has turned into an average of just 98 rushing yards per game.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Across the Panthers’ last ten home games, the team averaged 20 points per game while allowing 29. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 2-8 straight-up.
  • The last three games that Carolina was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Texans have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-6-1.

Prediction

  • Carolina Panthers 19 – Houston Texans 16
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