Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Pick and Preview

Lamar Jackson

AFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Ravens -9.5 | Total Points: 43.5

Overall, the Texans have an above .500 record at 10-7 and are in the middle of a three-game winning streak. In AFC action, the team is 8-5. The Texans came out on top in their last contest against the Browns, winning with a final score of 45-14. In addition to winning straight-up, the Texans covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs. With an over/under line of 45 points, the game saw a total of 59 points, going over the set line.

Heading into the game, the Ravens are the 1st ranked team in the AFC with a record of 13-4. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 8-4. This week, the Ravens aim to recover from their 17-10 loss to the Steelers. In addition to their 7-point loss, the Ravens also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 2.5-point underdogs at the start of the game. Going into the game vs. Pittsburgh, the over/under line was 34. With a combined total of 27 points, the under hit in this game.

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens History

The Ravens came out on top with a 25-9 win in their initial matchup against Texans. Taking the point spread into account, the Ravens were the favorites by -9.5, and they covered it with a 16-point victory. The over/under line going into the game was 43.5 points, which the teams fell short of.

In the last three games between Houston and Baltimore, the Ravens have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 23 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Baltimore is averaging 33 points compared to Houston at 10.

Notable Injuries

Houston Texans

  • Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
  • Jalen Pitre – Chest (Out)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Hassan Ridgeway – Calf (Out)
  • Jimmie Ward – Hip (Out)
  • Cameron Johnston – Calf (Out)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Tytus Howard – Hand (Out)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
  • Noah Brown – Groin (Out)
  • Neville Hewitt – Illness (Out)
  • Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Out)
  • Brandon Hill – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
  • Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)

Baltimore Ravens

  • Tyler Linderbaum – Ankle (Out)
  • Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
  • J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
  • Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
  • Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
  • Marcus Williams – Pectoral (Out)
  • Marlon Humphrey – Foot (Out)
  • Ronnie Stanley – Knee (Out)
  • Keaton Mitchell – Shoulder (Out)
  • Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
  • Damarion Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)

Keys To Victory: Houston Texans

On the offensive front, the Texans are currently averaging 23.4 points per game, positioning them 11th in the NFL. The Texans will be led by C.J. Stroud, who, over 15 games, has completed 63.9% of his passes and currently sits at 8th among quarterbacks in passing yards. His passer rating stands at 100.8. Houston has managed to find success on offense, even though they are ranked just 25th in rush yards per game. However, this lack of production has more to do with limited opportunities, as they are a below-average group in attempts.

Keys To Victory: Baltimore Ravens

At home, the Ravens are averaging 31.9 points per contest compared to their overall numbers of 28.4 points per game. In the league, Baltimore is 3rd in overall scoring. Lamar Jackson is starting at quarterback for the Ravens, and he has completed 67.2% of his passes so far this season. In terms of passing yards, he is 15th among other quarterbacks. His passer rating at the moment is 102.7. Baltimore comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 1st in yards per game on the ground.

Betting Trends

  • In their last three road games, Houston has averaged 16 points per game while allowing 21. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three home contests, Baltimore has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 25 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 6-4 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Ravens have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-0.


  • Baltimore Ravens 26 – Houston Texans 17
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