Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Pick and Preview

Posted on January 19, 2024

NFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: 49ers -9.5 | Total Points: 50.5

Coming into this Divisional round NFC matchup, the Packers are in the middle of a four-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 9-8. In their most recent matchup, the Packers secured a win against the Cowboys with a final score of 48-32. The Packers not only won straight-up but also covered the spread as 7-point underdogs. The over/under line for the game was 52 points, and the combined total points scored went over, reaching 80 points.

Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Packers, the 49ers have an above .500 record at 12-5. Recently, the 49ers played and had a 21-20 loss against the Rams. Not only did the 49ers lose the game, but they also didn’t cover the spread as 5.5-point favorites. Heading into the game, the over/under line was 40 points. As they combined for 41 points, the over hit.

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers History

The last five times the Packers have faced off against the 49ers on the road, they are above .500 at 3-2. In the previous three head-head matchups between the Packers and 49ers, the Packers have gone 2-1 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 5 points per game.

When looking at their past five road matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 33 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
When looking at their past three matchups at home, San Francisco has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 38 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
Through their last three games as the underdog, the Packers have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight-up mark of 3-0.
As the betting favorite, the 49ers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. San Francisco posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Notable Injuries

Green Bay Packers

David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
Aaron Jones – Hamstring (Out)
Eric Stokes – Foot (Out)
Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
Christian Watson – Hamstring (Out)
Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)

San Francisco 49ers

Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)
Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Out)
Samuel Womack III – Knee (Out)

Keys To Victory: Green Bay Packers

Quarterback Jordan Love will try to lead the Packers to a win despite being 9.5-point underdogs on the road. As a team, Green Bay is averaging 23.9 points per game, placing them 8th in the NFL. This season, he has completed 64.2% of his passes, leading an average of 244 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 7th among QB’s in passing yards and 5th in attempts. Jayden Reed has been targeted 94 times this season, and has caught 64 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 793 receiving yards. With an average of 113.8 rushing yards per game, the Packers currently rank 14th in the NFL. This figure is based on 26.3 rushing attempts (17th).

Keys To Victory: San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco’s offense comes in with an average of 28.9 points per game, which is currently 2nd in the league. Brock Purdy starts as quarterback for the 49ers. Currently, he has completed 69.4% of his passes and holds the 5th rank among quarterbacks in passing yards. His current passer rating is 113.0. A key aspect to the team’s strong offensive play has been their ability to run the ball. This year, the 49ers are near the top of the league in both attempts and yards per game. Currently, the team is averaging 140.5 yards per game on the ground.

Betting Trends

In their last ten games away from home, the Packers have a straight-up record of 5-5 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 27 points per game in this stretch.
In their last three home games, San Francisco has averaged 38 points per game while allowing 19. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Packers have a straight-up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
The last ten games that San Francisco was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 7-3 straight up.