Game Preview

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants Pick and Preview

Jordan Love

NFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Packers -6.5 | Total Points: 37

Coming into this week 14 NFC matchup, the Packers are in the middle of a three-game winning streak, helping them get back to .500 (6-6). In their previous game, the Packers defeated the Chiefs with a final score of 27-19. Despite being underdogs by 5.5, the Packers both won outright and covered the spread. The game’s over/under line stood at 43.5 points, and the final score exceeded this mark, reaching a combined 46 points.

Heading into this week’s matchup against Green Bay, the Giants have won two straight games and have a current record of 4-8. The Giants are coming off a win in their last game, where they beat the Patriots with a score of 10-7. Besides their outright victory, the Giants also covered the spread as 4-point underdogs. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 35.5 points. By combining for 17 points, the under hit.

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants History

In the only head to head matchp between the teams last season, the Giants won by a score of 27-22. With a combined 49 points, the Packers and Giants surpassed the over/under line of 42. The Giants covered the spread in this matchup. In last year’s win, the Giants finished with 338 of total offense, with 125 coming in the running game and 213 through the air. On the other side, the Packers ended the game with 301 of offense.

The last three times that the Packers have faced off vs. the Giants as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In the last five head-to-head games between the Packers and Giants, the average combined point total is 44 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 3-2.

Notable Injuries

Green Bay Packers

  • Christian Watson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Josiah Deguara – Hip (Probable)
  • Aaron Jones – Knee (Questionable)
  • David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
  • Luke Musgrave – Kidney (Out)
  • Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Out)
  • De’Vondre Campbell – Neck (Questionable)
  • Jaire Alexander – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Rashan Gary – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • AJ Dillon – Groin (Questionable)
  • Jonathan Owens – Knee (Questionable)
  • Elgton Jenkins – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Darnell Savage – Chest (Questionable)
  • Keisean Nixon – Wrist (Probable)
  • Jayden Reed – Chest (Questionable)
  • Devonte Wyatt – Elbow (Questionable)
  • Quay Walker – Shoulder (Questionable)

New York Giants

  • Matt Peart – Shoulder (Out)
  • Shane Lemieux – Biceps/groin (Out)
  • Gary Brightwell – Hamstring (Out)
  • Aaron Robinson – Knee (Out)
  • Evan Neal – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Joshua Ezeudu – Toe (Out)
  • Daniel Jones – Knee (Out)
  • Dexter Lawrence II – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • J.C. Hassenauer – Triceps (Out)
  • Jarrad Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Darren Waller – Hamstring (Out)
  • Tyrod Taylor – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Graham Gano – Knee (Out)
  • A’Shawn Robinson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Isaiah Simmons – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Carter Coughlin – Hip (Probable)
  • Bryce Ford-Wheaton – Knee (Out)

Keys To Victory: Green Bay Packers

The Packers are gearing up for this week’s game, hovering around the league average at 21.5 points per game. This has them 15th in the NFL. As a team, Green Bay ranks 18th in the NFL for passing yards per game, with an average of 224.7. Their passing yards per attempt of 6.6, places them at 9th in the league. The Green Bay offense is performing well in large part to their ability to be efficient with their opportunities in the run game, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt on the ground.

Keys To Victory: New York Giants

The New York offense hasn’t look good so far this season, with an average of only 13.2 points per contest. This has the Giants sitting 28th in the NFL. In terms of the passing game, the Giants have an average of 151.6 passing yards per game, placing them 32nd in the league rankings. At present, 53.3% of their first downs have come through the passing game. This season, the Giants offense has struggled to generate production on the ground. Heading into today’s game, they are ranked just 11th in attempts, leading to an average of 107.1 yards per game.

Betting Trends

  • Across the Packers last three road games, the team averaged 21 points per game while allowing 21. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • Through their last five home games, New York has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 15 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Giants have an ATS mark of just 2-2-1 in their last five games. New York posted a straight-up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Packers have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.

Prediction

  • Green Bay Packers 21 – New York Giants 18
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