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Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Pick and Preview

Dak Prescott

NFC Conference Matchup

Point Spread: Cowboys -7 | Total Points: 50.5

Overall, the Packers have an above .500 record at 9-8. Helping their cause is the fact that they are in the midst of a three-game winning streak. In NFC action, the team is 7-5. This week, the Packers will be looking to string together another win after taking down the Bears by a score of 17-9. Given that they were favored by 2.5 against the Bears, the Packers picked up an ATS win. The under hit in the Packers’ most recent game was as the teams combined for 26 points. The line going into the game was 46.

Coming into this Wild Card round NFC matchup, the Cowboys are in the middle of a two-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 12-5. The Cowboys took on the Commanders in week 18, winning by a score of 38-10. The Cowboys covered the spread, as they were favored by 13 against the Commanders. Going into the game, the over/under line was 47.5 points with Washington, the team’s performance exceeded the over/under line of 48.

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys History

The Packers have won each of the last three games on the road vs. the Cowboys. Across the last three head-to-head matchups between the Packers and Cowboys, the teams have averaged 60 points per game with an over/under record of 3-0. The last three times they have faced off with the Cowboys as the home team, the OU record is 1-2.

  • In their last three games away from home, the Packers have a straight-up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 29 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 22 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Packers have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
  • As the betting favorite, the Cowboys have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups, their straight record was 5-0.

Notable Injuries

Green Bay Packers

  • Eric Stokes – Foot (Out)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)

Dallas Cowboys

  • David Durden – Knee (Out)
  • Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
  • Nahshon Wright – Ankle (Out)
  • Matt Waletzko – Shoulder (Out)
  • John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
  • Ronald Jones – Suspension (Out)

Keys To Victory: Green Bay Packers

Quarterback Jordan Love leads the league’s 11th-ranked scoring offense into Dallas, averaging 233.4 passing yards per game. Green Bay will continue turning to the pass on offense, as they throw the ball an average of 34.2 times per contest. Overall, Love has put together a passer rating of 96.1 while throwing for 4159 yards. The team’s top receiver, Jayden Reed, has caught 64 passes and has accumulated 793 receiving yards this season. On the ground, Green Bay is averaging just 25.9 rush attempts per game, yet they are among the league leaders in yards per contest at 112.1 yards per game.

Keys To Victory: Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott and the NFL’s 1st head to Dallas looking to take care of business, as they are the -7 point favorites on the spread. For the season, Prescott is averaging 265 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 3rd among quarterbacks. Prescott comes in with a passer rating of 105.9 and is averaging 11.0 yards per completion. Against the Packers, the team will look to get receiver CeeDee Lamb involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 10.6 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 1749. The Cowboys come into the game handing the ball off 27.5 times per game and are currently 14th in rushing yards. Their average yards per attempt is 4.1.

Betting Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Packers have a straight-up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 29 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Cowboys’ last five home games, the team averaged 24 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Packers have a strong straight-up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
  • The Cowboys have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Prediction

  • Dallas Cowboys 25 – Green Bay Packers 22
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