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Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers Pick and Preview

Amon Ra St.Brown 1

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Lions -2.5 | Total Points: 48.5

Heading into the game, the Lions are the 2nd ranked team in the NFC with a record of 6-2. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 4-1. In week 8, the Lions had the Raiders at home. Detroit finished the game with a 26-14 win. The Lions were able to cover the spread vs. Las Vegas, as they went into the game favored by 7. The under bettors were successful in the Lions’ most recent game, with a combined total of 40 points. The game’s betting line was 46.

Heading into this week’s matchup against Detroit, the Chargers have won two straight games and have a current record of 4-4. The Chargers are coming off a successful game, where they beat the Jets with a score of 27-6. Heading into the game, the Chargers were favored by 3.5. Their 21-point win was enough to cover the spread. In the Chargers’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 33 points, below the line of 41 points.

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers History

When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Los Angeles and Detroit, the Lions hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 9 points.

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Chargers have a straight-up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs. the spread was just 6-4.
  • Detroit has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Notable Injuries

Detroit Lions

  • Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
  • Scott Daly – Knee (Out)
  • Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
  • C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
  • Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
  • Mohamed Ibrahim – Hip (Out)
  • Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
  • James Houston – Ankle (Out)
  • Dan Skipper – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Levi Onwuzurike – Hip (Questionable)
  • Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Out)
  • Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
  • Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Back (Questionable)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones – Ribs (Questionable)

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
  • Joshua Palmer – Knee (Out)
  • JT Woods – Illness (Out)
  • Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Joey Bosa – Illness (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Detroit Lions

On offense, the Lions are ranked 9th in the league at 25 points per game. They will need a strong offensive performance in order to pull out the win as 2.5-point underdogs. For the season, Goff is averaging 271 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 8th among quarterbacks. Goff comes in with a passer rating of 96.4 and is averaging 10.9 yards per completion. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been targeted 78 times this season and has caught 57 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 665 receiving yards. When it comes to rushing, the Lions are averaging 4.3 yards per attempt while running the ball an average of 30.5 times per game. At 131.4 rushing yards per contest, they are 6th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Los Angeles Chargers

The Los Angeles offense comes into week 10, averaging only 25.1 points per game, placing them 8th in the league. In this week’s game, Los Angeles’ passing game is currently 11th in passing yards. Additionally, they are 10th in pass attempts, throwing an average of 35.4 passes each game. This season, the Los Angeles offense has been able to put up points at an above-average rate, even though they have struggled to move the ball on the ground. So far, they are averaging just 3.6 yards per attempt, leading to a per-game average of 101.1.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Chargers have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Detroit has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 8-2 straight up.

Prediction

  • Los Angeles Chargers 26 – Detroit Lions 23
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