Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins Pick and Preview

Posted on December 22, 2023

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Dolphins -1 | Total Points: 50

Heading into the game, the Cowboys are the 2nd ranked team in the NFC with a record of 10-4. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 7-3. The Cowboys traveled to take on the Bills in week 15 and fell by a score of 31-10. The Cowboys had a 21-point loss, resulting in a defeat on their ATS record. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game. The game’s over/under betting line was 49.5. going into the game

Coming into this week’s non-conference matchup vs the Cowboys, the Dolphins have an above .500 record at 10-4. Most recently, the Dolphins hosted the Jets. The game ended in a 30-0 win for Miami. Being favored by 7 points against the Jets, the Dolphins came through with an ATS win. The under bettors were successful in the Dolphins’ most recent game, with a combined total of 30 points. The game’s betting line was 36.

Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins History

The Cowboys have gone a perfect 3-0 in their last three head-to-head matchups vs. the Dolphins. When looking back over the last ten head-to-head meetings between the Cowboys and Dolphins, the Cowboys hold the edge with an ATS record of 6-4.

Through their last ten road games, Dallas has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 20 points per game.
Across the Dolphins’ last five home games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 25. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
As the betting underdog, the Cowboys have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
Through their last five games as the favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Notable Injuries

Dallas Cowboys

Billy Price – Undisclosed (Questionable)
Malik Hooker – Ankle (Questionable)
Leighton Vander Esch – Neck (Out)
Johnathan Hankins – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
Zack Martin – Thigh (Questionable)
C.J. Goodwin – Pectoral (Out)
Sean McKeon – Ankle (Out)
Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
Tyron Smith – Back (Questionable)
Rico Dowdle – Ankle (Questionable)
Matt Waletzko – Shoulder (Questionable)
David Durden – Knee (Out)
DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
Viliami Fehoko Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)

Miami Dolphins

Lester Cotton – Hip (Probable)
Terron Armstead – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
Liam Eichenberg – Calf (Questionable)
De’Von Achane – Toe (Questionable)
Raheem Mostert – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
Durham Smythe – Ankle (Questionable)
Andrew Van Ginkel – Oblique/nose (Questionable)
Kader Kohou – Hip (Questionable)
Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
Cam Smith – Hamstring (Questionable)
Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
Connor Williams – Knee (Out)
Jerome Baker – Knee (Out)
Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
DeShon Elliott – Concussion (Probable)
Emmanuel Ogbah – Hamstring (Questionable)
Xavien Howard – Hip (Questionable)
Tyreek Hill – Ankle (Questionable)
Salvon Ahmed – Foot (Out)
Robert Hunt – Hamstring (Questionable)
Austin Jackson – Oblique (Questionable)
Alexander Johnson – Undisclosed (Out)
Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Out)
Jevon Holland – Knee (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Dallas Cowboys

In what is projected to be a tightly contested game, Dak Prescott will be looking to put together a strong performance for a Dallas offense ranked 2nd in points per game. This season, he has completed 68.8% of his passes, leading an average of 259 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 6th among QB’s in passing yards and 9th in attempts. Against the Dolphins, the team will look to get receiver CeeDee Lamb involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 10.1 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 1306. On a per-attempt basis, the Cowboys average 4.2 yards while carrying the ball an average of 28.1 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 12th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami offense enter this week’s 16 matchup, averaging 31.5 points per contest, placing them 1st in the NFL. This season, he has completed 71.0% of his passes, leading an average of 280 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 1st among QBs in passing yards and 12th in attempts. Against the Cowboys, the team will look to get receiver Tyreek Hill involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 10.2 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 1542. The Dolphins have been running the ball an average of 27.5 times per game and currently hold the 4th spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 5.

Betting Trends

In their last ten games away from home, the Cowboys have a straight-up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 20 points per game in this stretch.
Through their last ten home contests, the Dolphins offense has averaged 27 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Miami posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 7-3 ATS.
The last ten games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
As the betting favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight-up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.