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Dallas Cowboys vs Buffalo Bills Pick and Preview

Josh Allen

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Bills -2 | Total Points: 50

As the Cowboys prepare for this non-conference matchup, the team has an overall record of 10-3. This includes riding a current five-game winning streak. Against NFC opponents, they have a record of 7-3. When Dallas last took the field, the Cowboys took down the Eagles, ultimately winning with a final score of 33-13. Being favored by 3.5 points against the Eagles, the Cowboys came through with an ATS win. In their most recent game against Philadelphia, the pre-game over/under line was set at 52.5, leading the under to hit with a combined total of 46 points.

Heading into the game, the Bills are the 11th-ranked team in the AFC with a record of 7-6. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 4-5. After a 20-17 victory over the Chiefs, the Bills are looking for another win in week 15. In addition to winning straight-up, the Bills covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Kansas City was 49.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 37 points.

Dallas Cowboys vs Buffalo Bills History

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Bills have the edge in their recent matchups against Dallas, posting a record of 2-1. In the last three games Buffalo is averaging 16 points per game compared to 21 for the Cowboys.

  • The Cowboys are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Cowboys have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bills have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-4.

Notable Injuries

Dallas Cowboys

  • Johnathan Hankins – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • C.J. Goodwin – Pectoral (Out)
  • Billy Price – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Leighton Vander Esch – Neck (Out)
  • Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
  • Sean McKeon – Ankle (Out)
  • Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
  • Jalen Tolbert – Illness (Questionable)
  • Stephon Gilmore – Illness (Questionable)
  • Brandin Cooks – Illness (Questionable)
  • Malik Hooker – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Rico Dowdle – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Micah Parsons – Illness (Probable)
  • DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Waletzko – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • David Durden – Knee (Out)
  • Viliami Fehoko Jr. – Knee (Questionable)

Buffalo Bills

  • Taron Johnson – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Dalton Kincaid – Thumb/shoulder (Questionable)
  • A.J. Epenesa – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
  • Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
  • Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
  • DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
  • Micah Hyde – Neck (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas offense is currently ranked 1st in the league, averaging 32.4 points per contest. Against the Bills, Dak Prescott will get the start for the Cowboys. Over 13 games, he has completed 69.3% of his passes and holds the 4th position among quarterbacks in passing yards. His passer rating is currently 107.5. A key to the team’s offensive success is their effectiveness on the ground. On the season, the Dallas offense is 13th in rush yards per attempt. This figure has led to an average of 118.6 yards per game.

Keys To Victory: Buffalo Bills

On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills currently hold an average of 26.8 points per game, which places them at 5th in the NFL. A strength of this year’s team has been their offensive line, as they have only allowed sacks on 3.7% of the team’s passing attempts. This strong protection has helped the team average 256.9 yards per game through the air. The Bills have been running the ball an average of 27.7 times per game and currently hold the 10th spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 4.3.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home games, Buffalo has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • The last five games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Bills have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 1-4 against the spread.

Prediction

  • Buffalo Bills 27 – Dallas Cowboys 23
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