AFC North Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Ravens -6.5 | Total Points: 38
Heading into the game, the Browns are the Browns are the 6th ranked team in the AFC with a record of 5-3. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 3-2. In their most recent game, the Browns beat the Cardinals by a score of 27-0. The Browns were able to cover the spread vs. Arizona, as they went into the game favored by 12.5. In the matchup with Arizona, the pre-game over/under line was 38. The under hit, as they combined for 27 points.
Coming into this week 10 AFC matchup, the Ravens are in the middle of a four-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 7-2. Most recently, the Ravens faced off against the Seahawks at home. This game ended in a 37-3 win for Baltimore. As 6-point favorites against the Seahawks, the Ravens picked up an ATS win. The under bettors were successful in the Ravens’ most recent game, with a combined total of 40 points. The game’s betting line was 44.
Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens History
Last year, the Browns and Ravens split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1. Against the spread, the Browns went 2-0, while the over/under record in these games was 0-2 on an average of 29.5 points per game. The Browns’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 309.5 yards per game of offense. As for the Ravens, they averaged 289 yards offensively.
In the last five head-to-head matchups, the Ravens have had the upper hand, going 3-2. The over/under record in the five most recent head-to-head games between the Browns and Ravens is 1-4, with an average of 32 points per game. The last three times that the Browns have been on the road vs. the Ravens, the over/under record is 2-3.
Notable Injuries
Cleveland Browns
- David Njoku – Knee (Questionable)
- Ogbo Okoronkwo – Groin (Questionable)
- Pierre Strong Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Dawand Jones – Knee/shoulder (Questionable)
- Cameron Mitchell – Shoulder (Out)
- Daylen Baldwin – Hamstring (Out)
- Amari Cooper – Ankle (Questionable)
- Michael Woods II – Achilles (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Alex Wright – Knee (Questionable)
- Greg Newsome II – Groin (Questionable)
- David Bell – Knee (Questionable)
- Thomas Graham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Marquise Goodwin – Concussion (Questionable)
- Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Michael Dunn – Calf (Out)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Knee (Out)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
Baltimore Ravens
- Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
- Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
- J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
- Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
- Damarion Williams – Ankle (Out)
- David Ojabo – Ankle/knee (Out)
- Ar’Darius Washington – Chest (Out)
- Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
- Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)
- Michael Pierce – Illness (Questionable)
- Rashod Bateman – Back (Questionable)
- Jalyn Armour-Davis – Illness (Questionable)
- Marlon Humphrey – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Keaton Mitchell – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Odell Beckham Jr. – Knee (Probable)
Keys To Victory: Cleveland Browns
So far this season, the Browns offense is ranked 14th in the league at 22.6 points per contest. In this week’s game, Cleveland’s passing game is currently 29th in passing yards. Additionally, they are 19th in pass attempts, throwing an average of 33.9 passes each game. Cleveland comes into the game with one of the better rush attacks in the NFL, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt. This strong figure has led to the team ranking 3rd in yards per game on the ground.
Keys To Victory: Baltimore Ravens
If the Ravens are going to pull out the win, they will be looking for a big game out of quarterback Lamar Jackson and the league’s 6th-ranked scoring offense. This season, he has completed 71.5% of his passes, leading an average of 217 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 14th among QB’s in passing yards and 20th in attempts. Against the Browns, the team will look to get receiver Mark Andrews involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 6.9 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 477. On a per-attempt basis, the Ravens average 4.8 yards while carrying the ball an average of 33.3 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 1st in the league.
Betting Trends
- In their last three games away from home, the Browns have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 0-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 27 points per game in these contests.
- Across their last five home contests, Baltimore has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 24 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Browns have a straight-up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-2-1.
- Baltimore has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Prediction
- Baltimore Ravens 23 – Cleveland Browns 20
