AFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Jaguars -8.5 | Total Points: 38.5
This week, the Bengals will look to snap their current three-game losing streak with a victory over the Jaguars. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 5-6. In their last game, the Bengals played host to the Steelers and lost by a score of 16-10. Alongside their 6-point loss, the Bengals also suffered an ATS defeat. They were 2-point underdogs before the game. In their most recent game against Pittsburgh, the pre-game over/under line was set at 36, leading the under to hit on a combined total of 26 points.
Coming into this week 13 AFC matchup, the Jaguars are in the middle of a two-game winning streak and have an above .500 record of 8-3. The Jaguars are coming off a successful game, where they beat the Texans with a score of 24-21. The Jaguars covered the spread, as they were favored by 1 against the Texans. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 48 points. By combining for 45 points, the under hit.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars History
Over their previous five games against the Jaguars, the Bengals have put together a record of 3-2. Going back to the last five head-to-head games between the Jaguars and Bengals, the over/under record in these games is 2-2-1 with a combined average of 45 points per contest.
- The Bengals are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
- Across their last five home contests, Jacksonville has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0 while averaging 26 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bengals have a straight-up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.
Notable Injuries
Cincinnati Bengals
- D’Ante Smith – Knee (Questionable)
- Jaxson Kirkland – Wrist (Out)
- Tycen Anderson – Knee (Out)
- Cam Taylor-Britt – Quad (Questionable)
- Logan Wilson – Ankle (Probable)
- Tee Higgins – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Joe Burrow – Wrist (Out)
- Devin Cochran – Knee (Out)
- Devonnsha Maxwell – Knee (Out)
- Chidobe Awuzie – Illness (Questionable)
- Jake Browning – Wrist (Probable)
- Tanner Hudson – Finger (Probable)
- Drew Sample – Foot (Probable)
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Jamal Agnew – Shoulder/ribs (Out)
- Cam Robinson – Knee (Out)
- Tyson Campbell – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
- Leonard Taylor – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
- Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
- Christian Braswell – Hamstring (Out)
- Travis Etienne Jr. – Ribs (Questionable)
- Luke Farrell – Toe (Questionable)
Keys To Victory: Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are currently averaging 19.3 points per contest while being one of the more pass-heavy teams in the NFL, at 6th attempts per game. Jake Browning is 44th among QBs in passing yards and has a season-long passer rating of 93.0. As a team, Cincinnati is just 19th in passing yards per game. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver Ja’Marr Chase who through 11 games, has 914 receiving yards this season. A major reason for the team’s lack of offense is their inability to generate production with the rushing attack. Heading into today’s game, the team’s below-average number of rush attempts has turned into an average of just 75.8 rushing yards per game.
Keys To Victory: Jacksonville Jaguars
Led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, the team’s 10th-ranked scoring offense will need to be on top of their game to cover the spread as -8.5 point betting favorites. For the season, Lawrence is averaging 249 passing yards per game through the air. This figure has him sitting 10th among quarterbacks. Lawrence comes in with a passer rating of 92.0 and is averaging 11.0 yards per completion. Christian Kirk has been targeted 84 times this season, and has caught 56 passes this season. He comes into the game with a total of 761 receiving yards. The Jaguars come into the game handing the ball off 29.1 times per game and are currently 17th in rushing yards. Their average yards per attempt is 3.6.
Betting Trends
- Across their ten previous road games, Cincinnati has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 21 points per game.
- Across their last five home contests, Jacksonville has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 26 points per game.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Cincinnati has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
- Jacksonville has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Prediction
- Jacksonville Jaguars 24 – Cincinnati Bengals 20
