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Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Pick and Preview

Alexander Mattison 1

NFC North Divisional Matchup

Point Spread: Vikings -3 | Total Points: 43

Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Vikings, the Bears have a below .500 record at 3-8. In week 11, the Bears hit the road to face the Lions, but they suffered a 31-26 loss. Despite their defeat against Detroit, the Bears managed to cover the spread as 8-point underdogs in that game. The game’s over/under line was 48 points, leading to the over hitting with a combined 57 points.

Coming into to this week’s NFC matchup vs the Bears, the Vikings have an above .500 record at 6-5. In their most recent game, the Vikings lost by 21-20 to the Broncos. Despite a straight-up loss, the Vikings were able to keep things closer than expected, as they were 2.5-point underdogs before kickoff. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Denver was 42.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 41 points.

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings History

Going back to last season, the Vikings and Bears faced off two times, with the Vikings going 2-0. The Bears and Vikings split their games vs. the spread last season. Together they combined to average 46.5 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 1-1. Offensively, the Vikings averaged 455.5 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Bears at 265 yards.

The Vikings have gone a perfect 3-0 in their last three head-to-head matchups vs. the Bears. Over the last three head-to-head matchups, the Vikings have gone 2-1 against the spread. When looking at the last three times they have host the Bears, the Vikings are 3-0 ATS.

Notable Injuries

Chicago Bears

  • Noah Sewell – Knee (Questionable)
  • Larry Borom – Illness (Questionable)
  • Lucas Patrick – Back (Questionable)
  • D’Onta Foreman – Ankle (Questionable)

Minnesota Vikings

  • James Lynch – Knee (Out)
  • Justin Jefferson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Cam Akers – Achilles (Out)
  • Brian Asamoah II – Ankle (Probable)
  • Akayleb Evans – Calf (Questionable)
  • Marcus Davenport – Ankle (Out)
  • Olisaemeka Udoh – Quad (Out)
  • Dean Lowry – Pectoral (Out)
  • Jordan Hicks – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Kirk Cousins – Achilles (Out)
  • Jaren Hall – Concussion (Probable)
  • Malik Knowles – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Nick Mullens – Back (Probable)
  • T.J. Hockenson – Ribs (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Chicago Bears

Justin Fields and the Chicago passing attack come into the game ranked just 25th in passing attempts. This below-average figure has led to Fields throwing for a total of 1370 yards on a completion percentage of 62.7%. Wide receiver DJ Moore is pacing the Bears with 889 receiving yards. Overall he has 59 catches on 80 targets. The team has had their problems on offense despite being one of the better rushing units in the NFL. On the season, Chicago is averaging 139.5 yards per game on the ground, good for 4th in the league.

Keys To Victory: Minnesota Vikings

Quarterback Joshua Dobbs leads the Vikings offense into Minnesota, ranked 23 in points per game (10th). This season, he has completed 63.5% of his passes, leading an average of 201 yards per game in the passing attack. Overall, he is 20th among QB’s in passing yards and 8th in attempts. T.J. Hockenson has been targeted 102 times this season and has caught 75 passes. He comes into the game with a total of 736 receiving yards. The Vikings have been running the ball an average of 24.3 times per game and currently hold the 27th spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 3.8.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Chicago has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Vikings have a strong straight-up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction

  • Minnesota Vikings 21 – Chicago Bears 19
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