Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles Pick and Preview

Posted on November 24, 2023

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Eagles -3 | Total Points: 48.5

Heading into the game, the Bills are the 8th ranked team in the AFC with a record of 6-5. Against other teams in the Conference, they have a mark of 3-5. The Bills came out on top in their previous game against the Jets, with the game ending in a score of 32-6. Being favored by 8 points against the Jets, the Bills came through with an ATS win. In the Bills’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 38 points, below the line of 39 points.

As the Eagles prepare for this NFC matchup, the team has an overall record of 9-1. This includes riding a current four-game winning streak. Against NFC opponents, they have a record of 6-0. The Eagles clinched a win in their most recent contest against the Chiefs, finishing with a final score of 21-17. Heading into the game, the Eagles were 3-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Kansas City was 46. The teams fell short of this figure with 38 points.

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles History

In the last five head-to-head matchups, the Eagles have had the upper hand, going 4-1. In the last five head-to-head games between the Bills and Eagles, the average combined point total is 40 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.

Across their ten previous road games, Buffalo has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 24 points per game.
Through their last three home contests, the Eagles offense has averaged 24 points per game while allowing an average of 22. Philadelphia posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 ATS.
Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Buffalo has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Eagles have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-1-1 in these scenarios.

Notable Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Micah Hyde – Neck/stinger (Questionable)
Cam Lewis – Shoulder (Questionable)
Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
Dane Jackson – Concussion (Questionable)
Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Out)
Taylor Rapp – Neck (Questionable)
Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
Dawson Knox – Wrist (Out)
Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
Taron Johnson – Concussion (Questionable)
Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)

Philadelphia Eagles

Grant Calcaterra – Ankle (Questionable)
Milton Williams – Concussion (Questionable)
Julio Jones – Knee (Probable)
A.J. Brown – Thigh (Questionable)
D’Andre Swift – Ankle (Questionable)
Derek Barnett – Personal (Questionable)
Justin Evans – Knee (Questionable)
Dallas Goedert – Forearm (Questionable)
Roderick Johnson – Undisclosed (Out)
Avonte Maddox – Pectoral (Out)
Nakobe Dean – Foot (Out)
Shaun Bradley – Achilles (Out)
Isaiah Rodgers Sr. – Suspension (Out)
Quez Watkins – Hamstring (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Buffalo Bills

Quarterback Josh Allen leads the league’s 6th-ranked scoring offense into Philadelphia, averaging 254.5 passing yards per game. Buffalo will continue turning to the pass on offense, as they throw the ball an average of 34.7 times per contest. Overall, Allen has put together a passer rating of 97.6 while throwing for 2875 yards. Heading into the game, the team’s top receiver, Stefon Diggs, who through 11 games has 895 receiving yards this season. A key to the team’s offensive success is their effectiveness on the ground. On the season, the Buffalo offense is 10th in rush yards per attempt. This figure has led to an average of 117.7 yards per game.

Keys To Victory: Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles head into week 12, averaging 27.3 points per game. In this week’s game, Philadelphia’s passing game is currently 12th in passing yards. Additionally, they are 20th in pass attempts, throwing an average of 32.7 passes each game. A key aspect of the team’s strong offensive play has been their ability to run the ball. This year, the Eagles are near the top of the league in both attempts and yards per game. Currently, the team is averaging 128.1 yards per game on the ground.

Betting Trends

Across their five previous road games, Buffalo has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 26 points per game.
Across their ten previous home games, Philadelphia has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 27 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Bills have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Buffalo posted a straight-up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
The Eagles have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-1-1 against the spread.