Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets Pick and Preview

Breece Hall

Non-Conference NFL Matchups

Point Spread: Falcons -2 | Total Points: 34

Coming into this week’s matchup vs the Jets, the Falcons have a below .500 record at 5-6. In week 12, the Falcons had the Saints at home. Atlanta finished the game with a 24-15 win. Going into the game, the Falcons were actually 2-point underdogs. This resulted in an ATS win for the Falcons. In the Falcons’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 39 points, below the line of 42 points.

This week, the Jets will look to snap their current four-game losing streak with a victory over the Falcons. Heading into action, the team has a below .500 record of 4-7. In the previous game, the Jets lost by a score of 34-13 against the Dolphins. With a 21-point loss, the Jets added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 9.5-point underdogs prior to the game. Going into the game, the over/under line was 40 points with Miami; the team’s performance exceeded the over/under line of 47.

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets History

In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Falcons are averaging 26 points per game, compared to the Jets at 23. These figures have led to Atlanta posting a record of 2-1.

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 14 points per game while allowing an average of 22. Atlanta posted an overall record of 1-9 while going 2-8 ATS.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Jets offense has averaged 14 points per game while allowing an average of 21. New York posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 ATS.
  • The last ten games that New York was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Falcons have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.

Notable Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

  • Nate Landman – Thigh (Questionable)
  • Jake Matthews – Hip (Questionable)
  • Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
  • Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
  • LaCale London – Knee (Out)
  • Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
  • Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
  • Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
  • Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
  • Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
  • Mack Hollins – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)

New York Jets

  • Aaron Rodgers – Achilles (Questionable)
  • Al Woods – Achilles (Out)
  • Connor McGovern – Knee (Out)
  • Wes Schweitzer – Calf (Questionable)
  • Justin Hardee – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Ifeadi Odenigbo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Chuck Clark – Knee (Out)
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker – Achilles (Out)
  • Michael Carter II – Hamstring (Probable)
  • Kenny Yeboah – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Mekhi Becton – Ankle/knee (Probable)
  • Bradlee Anae – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Billy Turner – Finger (Questionable)
  • Breece Hall – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Israel Abanikanda – Illness (Questionable)
  • Will McDonald IV – Shoulder (Probable)
  • Quincy Williams – Knee (Questionable)

Keys To Victory: Atlanta Falcons

At 19.4 points per contest, the Atlanta offense is 19th in the league. Atlanta is struggling to produce in the passing game despite their offensive line doing a good job at protecting the quarterback. So far, the team is ranked just 21st in passing yards per contest but have allowed some of the fewest hits on the quarterback in the league. At 139.3 rushing yards per game, the Falcons are 4th in the NFL. This figure has come on an average of 32 attempts (3rd).

Keys To Victory: New York Jets

Tim Boyle and the New York passing attack come into the game ranked just 18th in passing attempts. This below-average figure has led to Boyle throwing for a total of 212 yards on a completion percentage of 65.4%. The team’s top receiver, Garrett Wilson, has caught 64 passes and has accumulated 695 receiving yards this season. If the Jets are going to turn things around on offense, they would benefit from improving their numbers on the ground. So far, New York is ranked just 29th in attempts and 25th in yards.

Betting Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 15 points per game while allowing an average of 21. Atlanta posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Jets have a straight-up record of 2-8 while going 2-7-1 vs. the spread. The team’s offense averaged 12 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Jets have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. New York posted a straight-up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Falcons have a straight-up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 0-5.


  • New York Jets 19 – Atlanta Falcons 18
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