Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Pick and Preview
AFC South Divisional Matchup
Point Spread: Titans +6.0 | Total Points: 40.0
As the Titans prepare for their AFC South matchup against Jacksonville, they have an overall record of 7-9 and are in the midst of 6 game losing streak. Heading into week 18, the Tennessee Titans are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Cowboys by a score of 27-13. In terms of betting, Tennessee not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 13.5-point underdogs.
Heading into this week’s matchup against Tennessee, the Jaguars have won 4 straight games and have a current record of 8-8. Going back to last week, the Jaguars picked up a win in the AFC South, as they defeated the Jaguars by a score of 31-3. Besides winning straight up, the Jaguars also came home with an ATS win as the -3.5 point favorites. The two teams combined point total of 34 remained below the betting line of 43.
See all NFL Odds for week 18 here.
Titans vs Jaguars History
In the previous matchup between the two teams, the Jaguars came out on top by a score of 36-22. This matchup took place back in week 14. Heading into the game, the Jaguars were the 3.5-point underdogs on the spread, giving them a win vs the spread. The over-under betting line going into the game was set at 41.5 points. The two teams combined to surpass this figure with a total of 58.
When looking back on the last 3 head-to-head matchups between Jacksonville and Tennessee, the Titans hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in a convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 8 points. When looking at the last 3 times the Titans have traveled to TIAA Bank Field, they have put together a record of 2-1. In terms of betting, Tennessee holds a recent edge vs the spread, going 3-2 in the previous 5 meetings. These games have finished with an average point total of 47, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Notable Injuries
Tennessee Titans
- Davontae Harris (Hamstring) Questionable
- Tarell Basham (Back) Questionable
- Dylan Cole (Ankle) Questionable
- Jeffery Simmons (Ankle) Questionable
- Amani Hooker (Knee) Questionable
- Kristian Fulton (Groin) Questionable
- Treylon Burks (Groin) Questionable
- Nicholas Petit-Frere (Ankle) Questionable
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Brandon Scherff (Abdomen/ankle) Questionable
- Rayshawn Jenkins (Shoulder) Questionable
- Folorunso Fatukasi (Ankle) Questionable
- Andrew Wingard (Shoulder) Questionable
- Ross Matiscik (Back) Questionable
- Trevor Lawrence (Toe) Questionable
- Travon Walker (Ankle) Questionable
Keys To Victory: Tennessee Titans
This season, the Titans have had their problems on offense, as through 16 games, they are averaging just 17.6 points per game. The team’s lackluster offense has contributed 45.0% of the scoring in their games, leading to an average point differential of -3.6. In this week’s matchup, look for the Titans’ offense to attack the Jaguars’ secondary, as the unit has had its problems defending the pass. For the season, Tennessee is averaging 171.8 yards per contest through the air. Quarterback Joshua Dobbs comes into this week’s matchup looking to add to his current passing yards total of 232. This figure has come while completing 51.3% of his passes. So far, the team’s top receiving threat has been Robert Woods, who comes into the game with 487 receiving yards. For the season, he has been the recipient of 39.0% of the pass attempts to wide receivers.
So far, the ground game has not been a huge part of the Titans’ offense as their current production of 124.0 yards per game places them near the NFL average. This week could be a struggle for the unit, as Jaguars have been tough to run against this season. So far, the team’s leading rusher is Derrick Henry, who is averaging 4.5 yards per attempt. Through 15 games, he has rushed for a total of 1429 yards on the ground.
Keys To Victory: Jacksonville Jaguars
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence leads the league’s 11th-ranked scoring offense into the game, averaging 234.8 passing yards per game. Jacksonville will continue turning to the pass on offense, as they throw the ball an average of 35.3 times per contest. Overall, Lawrence has put together a passer rating of 95.4 while throwing for 3901 yards. Jacksonville will need to continue getting receiver Christian Kirk involved, as he has caught 57.0% of the passes thrown his way for a total of 1009 receiving yards.
Running back Travis Etienne Jr. comes into the game averaging 69.3 yards per game on the ground and heads the league’s 10th-ranked team in rush yards per contest. For the season, Etienne Jr. has a yards per attempt figure of 5.2 yards per attempt. This year, the team has finished with more rushing yards than their opponents in 62.5% of their matchups.
Betting Trends
- Tennessee is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- Tennessee is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
- Tennessee is 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
- Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Prediction
This game decides the fate of both teams’ playoff hopes. The Titans have talent but their injuries will hold them back. We like the Jaguars to not only win but to cover (6.5).
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