Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders Pick and Preview
NFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Commanders -6 | Total Points: 44.5
Going into their week 5 NFC matchup against Washington, the Bears still do not have a victory with a record of 0-4. In week 4, the Bears faced off against the Broncos at home. The game ended in a 31-28 loss for the Bears. The Bears had a 3-point loss, resulting in an ATS push. They were 3-point underdogs going into the game. The game’s over/under line was 47 points, leading to the over hitting with a combined 59 points.
This week, the Commanders will look to snap their current two game losing streak with victory over the Bears. Heading into action, the team has a .500 record of 2-2. Last time they played, the Commanders were handed a 34-31 loss by the Eagles. The Commanders covered the spread despite their loss to Philadelphia. They were underdogs by 9 before the game. The over/under line for the game was set at 43 points, and the final combined total surpassed it with 65 points.
Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders History
The Commanders picked up a 12-7 over the Bears in their only head-to-head matchup last season. In their only head-to-head matchup, the team’s scored 19 points which fell below the over/under line of 38.5. The Commanders covered the spread in last year’s matchup. Offensively, the Commanders finished with 86 passing yards and 128 rushing yards in their win over the Bears. As for Chicago, they ended the game with 392 yards of total offense.
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Commanders and Bears have gone in favor of the Commanders, putting together a record of 8-2. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Bears and Commanders, the teams have averaged 41 points per game with an over/under record of 2-1. The last three times they have faced off with the Commanders as the home team, the OU record is 2-1.
Notable Injuries
Chicago Bears
- Jaquan Brisker – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Doug Kramer – Lower Leg (Out)
- Josh Blackwell – Hamstring (Out)
- Teven Jenkins – Calf (Questionable)
- Kyler Gordon – Hand (Out)
- Braxton Jones – Neck (Out)
- Chase Claypool – Personal (Out)
- Khalid Kareem – Hip (Out)
- Jaylon Johnson – Hamstring (Out)
- Eddie Jackson – Foot (Out)
Washington Commanders
- Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
- Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
- Drew White – Knee (Out)
- Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
- Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. – Illness (Questionable)
- Phidarian Mathis – Calf (Out)
- Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
- David Bada – Triceps (Out)
- Troy Apke – Shoulder (Out)
- Kaden Smith – Undisclosed (Out)
- Efe Obada – Knee (Out)
Keys To Victory: Chicago Bears
Coming into week 5, the Bears offense is 21st in the league at 18.8 points per contest. Production in the passing game has been hard to come by for the Bears as they are averaging just 186.2 yards per game through the air. However, much of this has to do with lack of opportunities, as Chicago is just 22nd in attempts per contest. Per attempt, the Bears are averaging 4.6 yards while carrying the ball an average of 25.5 times per contest. In terms of yardage, they are 13th in the league.
Keys To Victory: Washington Commanders
Ranked 16th in the league, the Commanders offense is averaging 22.2 points per game. In the passing game, the Commanders are averaging 201.2 passing yards per game, which is 19th in the league. So far, 46.6% of their first downs have come through the passing game. Even though the Washington offense is averaging 5.1 yards per attempt, they are below average unit in overall rushing yards. So far, the Commanders are 17th in rushing yards per contest.
Betting Trends
- In their last five games away from home, the Bears have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 14 points per game in these contests.
- Washington has a 2-2-1 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 25 points per game while allowing 26. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Commanders have gone 6-3-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
- Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Bears have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-2-1.
Prediction
- Washington Commanders 20 – Chicago Bears 19
