NFC Conference Matchup
Point Spread: Packers -3.5 | Total Points: 42
Heading into this week’s matchup against Green Bay, the Buccaneers have won two straight games and have a current record of 6-7. Week 14 saw the Buccaneers take on the Falcons on the road, resulting in a 29-25 win. In addition to winning the game, the Buccaneers managed to cover the spread as 1.5-point underdogs. Totaling 54 points alongside Atlanta, the game’s point total exceeded the set over/under line of 41.5.
Coming into this week’s NFC matchup vs the Buccaneers, the Packers have a below .500 record at 6-7. After their 24-22 loss to the Giants, the Packers are looking to bounce back in week 15. In addition to losing straight-up, the Packers also lost vs. the spread as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under line for the game was 37 points, and the combined total points scored went over, reaching 46 points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers History
In their only head-to-head matchup last season, the Packers won by a score of 14-12. In the game, the teams scored 26 points, which fell below the over/under line of 42. The Packers covered the spread in last year’s matchup. Offensively, the Packers finished with 248 passing yards and 67 rushing yards in their win over the Buccaneers. As for Tampa Bay, they ended the game with 285 yards of total offense.
In the last five head-to-head matchups, the Packers have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. In the previous three head-head matchups between the Buccaneers and Packers, the Buccaneers have gone 2-1 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 11 points per game.
Notable Injuries
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)
- Mike Greene – Calf (Out)
- Zach Triner – Elbow (Questionable)
- Chris Godwin – Knee (Questionable)
- Rakim Jarrett – Quad (Out)
- Devin White – Foot (Probable)
- Jamel Dean – Ankle/foot (Probable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- William Gholston – Knee (Questionable)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
- Ryan Neal – Back (Questionable)
- Carlton Davis III – Groin (Questionable)
- Vita Vea – Toe (Questionable)
Green Bay Packers
- Jonathan Owens – Knee (Questionable)
- Elgton Jenkins – Shoulder (Questionable)
- AJ Dillon – Thumb (Questionable)
- Kingsley Enagbare – Toe (Questionable)
- Darnell Savage – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Keisean Nixon – Quadricep (Questionable)
- T.J. Slaton – Quadricep (Questionable)
- Jayden Reed – Ankle (Questionable)
- Dontayvion Wicks – Ankle (Questionable)
- Luke Musgrave – Kidney (Out)
- Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Out)
- Quay Walker – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Christian Watson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
- Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
- Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jaire Alexander – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Aaron Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
Keys To Victory: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay passing attack come into the game ranked just 17th in passing attempts. This below-average figure has led to Mayfield throwing for a total of 2934 yards on a completion percentage of 62.6%. Wide receiver Mike Evans is pacing the Buccaneers with 1020 receiving yards. Overall, he has 62 catches on 109 targets. If the Buccaneers are going to turn things around on offense, they would benefit from improving their numbers on the ground. So far, Tampa Bay is ranked just 22nd in attempts and 29th in yards.
Keys To Victory: Green Bay Packers
At 21.5 points per contest, the Green Bay offense is 16th in the league. This season, the Green Bay offense has yet to find its groove in the passing game, ranking just 18th in pass yards per game. Their mediocre production has come despite dropping back to throw at a rate of 34.5 times per game. The Packers come in with an average of 4.2 yards per rushing attempt while running the ball an average of 24.9 times per game. In terms of total rushing yardage, they currently rank 19th in the league.
Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 21 points per game while allowing 26. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Across the Packers’ last ten home games, the team averaged 24 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 4-6 straight-up.
- Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a strong record vs the spread going 4-1. Their straight-up mark in these contests is 1-4.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Packers have a straight-up record of 4-6 and 4-6 v. the spread.
Prediction
- Green Bay Packers 24 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18
