Money Where Your Mouth Is
Folks, whether we like it or not we are now on the downhill portion of the NFL season. Crunchtime is nearing and wins are becoming more and more important. Which means the stars will need to step up when it matters most and win us some money!
We had a decent slip last week. We had two player props hit and one anytime touchdown. Had another touchdown scorer hit until a holding penalty called it back. Oh well! Let’s see where we stand:
- Straight props: 24-14
- Anytime TD: 9-16
- Player Prop Parlays: 3-6
Steadily around the 60% mark for straight props, can’t be mad. The touchdowns aren’t landing but we can turn that around with a week 10 sweep. Let’s do this.
Props
Tyrone Tracy O 72.5 rushing yards (-120 DraftKings)
Germany special! Make sure to wake up in time to place this one! I love the Tyrone Tracy takeover. Brian Daboll has not held back how much he appreciates Tracy’s abilities. Tracy slowly took the starting role from Devin Singletary and has not looked back. Averaging 82.6 rushing yards a game in the last five games with one of those being a stinker of a week with 23 yards. Tracy is going to smash this line. On average, Carolina allowed 159 rushing yards a game. Germany will be served a hot plate of Tracy this week!
Sam Darnold O 252.5 passing yards (-115 DraftKings)
This is a bet I’m taking based on how Darnold is trending lately. Darnold threw for 259 yards, 240 yards, and 290 yards in the last three games. In my eyes, that was one incompletion away from hitting this week’s line three out of the last three weeks. Now he will face a Jaguars’ defense that gives up 264 passing yards on average. I’d like to note that the Jaguars’ defense has been playing slightly better the past couple of weeks, so this isn’t a smash play. But I do think Jefferson, Hockenson, Addison, Jones & Company can get Darnold to 260 or so yards this week.
Courtland Sutton O 52.5 receiving yards (-115 DraftKings)
If you haven’t been paying attention, Bo Nix and the Broncos offense have been clicking as of late (the Ravens game was fluky). Quietly 5-4 and have been competing on offense. Courtland Sutton has been a direct benefit of this. In the past two weeks, he has logged 100 receiving yards and 122 receiving yards. Facing the Chiefs’ defense this week isn’t the most enticing opponent to try and capitalize on, I’ll say that. But if he can rack up 100+ in consecutive games, he should see no problems reaching 53 yards this week.
Kareem Hunt O 18.5 rushing attempts (-120 DraftKings)
Other than his first game back with the Chiefs, Kareem has hit the over on this line every week. Need I say more? 21 attempts was the closest amount to this line. The Chiefs clearly trust him with the ball and will happily take 5-yard runs from him every play if they have to.
Anytime Touchdowns
Aaron Jones -115
Love this pick. Why? Two reasons. First, the Jaguars rush defense is practically Swiss cheese. Holes everywhere and not that good. Allowing 125 yards a game to opposing teams. Second, the Jaguars won’t have Trevor Lawrence this week, which tells me all I need to know about Aaron Jones finding the endzone. The Vikings will be chewing the clock and Jones will find the endzone. I may even sprinkle 2+ touchdowns!
Malik Nabers +135
There’s something that feels right about Malik Nabers finding the endzone in Germany in a pointless game against the Panthers. Plus, he hasn’t found paydirt since week three so he is due. In honor of the German game “Malik, du bist der Beste!” (Hopefully, Google translate worked there)
D’Andre Swift +110
I don’t think it is a secret that Caleb Williams is going through a small slump. He is a rookie. I am not surprised, so I don’t know why anyone else might be. Because of that, and because the Patriots don’t have a stellar run defense, I think we will see Chicago lean on D’Andre Swift (and Roschon Johnson) a little bit more this week. Can’t wait to see Swift cross the goal line this week!
