49ers vs. Eagles Pick and Preview
NFC Conference Championship Matchup
Point Spread: 49ers +2.5 | Total Points: 46.5
Coming into the NFC Conference Championship, the 49ers are in the middle of a 10-game winning streak and a record 13-4. Last week, the 49ers knocked off the Cowboys by a score of 19-12. Not only did San Francisco walk away with the win, but they also covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 46.
The Eagles take on the 49ers with a record of 14-3 and advanced to the NFC Championship game with a 38-7 win over the Giants. Philadelphia easily covered the spread 8.5-point favorites.
49ers vs Eagles History
The last time the 49ers and Eagles squared off came in 2021 when Philadelphia lost by a score of 17-11. When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between San Francisco and Philadelphia, the Eagles hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but have won by an average of 8 points.
When looking at the last three times the 49ers have traveled to Lincoln Financial Field, they have put together a record of 2-1. In terms of betting, San Francisco holds a recent edge vs. the spread, going 3-2 in the previous five meetings. These games have finished with an average point total of 41, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.
Notable Injuries
San Francisco 49ers
- Deebo Samuel (Ankle) Questionable
- Ambry Thomas (Ankle) Questionable
- Elijah Mitchell (Groin) Questionable
- Kalia Davis (Undisclosed) Questionable
- Charles Omenihu (Oblique) Questionable
- Jimmy Garoppolo (Foot) Doubtful
- Christian McCaffrey (Calf) Questionable
Philadelphia Eagles
- Avonte Maddox (Toe) Questionable
- Brett Toth (Knee) Questionable
- Lane Johnson (Groin) Questionable
Keys To Victory: San Francisco 49ers
In this week’s matchup, the 49ers feature one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 26.4 points per contest (6th). Currently, the team’s offensive production has led to an average scoring differential of 10.1 points per game. In terms of passing yards, San Francisco is 27th in the league at 230.5 yards per contest. Quarterback Brock Purdy has put together one of the stronger passer ratings among quarterbacks at 107.3, with a total of 1374 yards for the rookie. Against the Eagles, he will need to be on top of his game vs. the league’s 1st ranked passing defense. Going into the game, the team’s leader in receiving yards is Brandon Aiyuk, who has caught 68.4% of the balls thrown his way for a total of 1015 yards.
On the ground, the 49ers should be able to put in yet another strong performance, as they are currently the 8th ranked team in rush yards per game and face off vs. a defense that is vulnerable up front. This year, McCaffrey has rushed 1139 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt. It is worth noting that he is listed as questionable on the injury report.
Keys To Victory: Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is looking to continue with their efficient play in the passing game, as they are just 23rd in the league in passing attempts, but are still averaging 241.5 yards per game. Overall, the team is scoring at a rate of 28.1 points per contest. At the quarterback position, Jalen Hurts enters play as the 10th-ranked QB in passing yards, with a total of 3701. Philadelphia will need to continue getting receiver A.J. Brown involved, as he has caught 68.4% of the passes thrown his way for a total of 1496 receiving yards.
Philadelphia will look to establish the run, as they are among the league leaders in rush yards per contest. For the season, the team is averaging 147.6 rush yards per game which is 5th in the NFL. The battle up-front should be an interesting matchup to watch, as the 49ers are one of the top-rush defenses in the league.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
- San Francisco is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
- San Francisco is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Prediction
Brock Purdy has led his team to the NFC Championship, which is an impressive accomplishment for a rookie; however, we feel the winning streak ends this weekend. Purdy has not played a defense of this caliber on the road, and we believe the pass rush will be too much for him. On the other side of the ball, Jalen Hurts is playing some of his best football and has an excellent offensive line and weapons to move the chains.
Pick: Eagles to win and cover.
