NBA Prop Bets
March Madness starts tomorrow, but we’ve got you covered here tonight to keep you ticking over until then. Plenty of matchups this evening, with some notable absentees making for some trickier selections. We’re going all in for points this tonight, hoping for plenty of action to follow.
Josh Green over 16.5 points scored (-120)
The injury-hit Dallas Mavericks (34-35) make the short trip to San Antonio to face the Spurs (18-50) in what could turn into an exciting matchup, as the road team is definitely without Luka Doncic, but also have Kyrie Irving, Christian Wood & Tim Hardaway Jr all questionable. Josh Green has benefitted over the last couple of games with certain starters missing out, as he’s hit 20+ points in both of his previous 2. Jaden Hardy has had a similar impact for the Mavs in this period but we’re running with Green as his shooting percentage has been much higher (over 50% in both). The Spurs still rank last in points per game allowed (121.7), and the Mavs start as -5.5 favorites, but depending on who misses out tonight it could be a much closer game. This is a line I’d keep tabs on until closer to tip-off, and see who ends up starting for the Mavericks.
Austin Reaves over 13.5 points scored (-115)
Next up we have the LA Lakers (34-35) also on the road to Texas as they square off against the Houston Rockets (16-52). The Lakers have won 4 of their last 5 and want to continue their good run as they sit in the final play-in spot currently a game ahead of Utah. Unfortunately for them, Anthony Davis has been ruled out for the matchup after his monstrous recent run of form, as he joins LeBron James on the sideline. Houston in their last 3 is averaging 120.7 points against per game (23rd) and the Lakers are currently shooting 51% in their previous 3, so we look to pivot to another LA scorer, with Austin Reaves’s line looking the standout. Reaves has scored 13+ points in all of his last 5 games, and in his previous matchup without AD & LeBron, he scored 19 points against Oklahoma 2 weeks ago. Since the beginning of March, he’s also shooting 56.1% from the field and averaging 14.7 points per game.
Zach LaVine over 27.5 points scored (-125)
The Chicago Bulls (31-36) host the high-flying Sacramento Kings (40-27) who are continuing to chase down the top spot in the Eastern Conference, as they’ve won 8 of their last 10. The Bulls, however, are just outside of the play-in spots in the Western Conference as they struggle for any real consistency. Though Sacramento leads the league in points per game (124.7 in L3), they also rank 26th in points allowed per game (123 in L3), and the Bulls are above their average of late with 119.3 (T6 in L3). Zach LaVine has had a hot start to March, hitting 27+ points in all 5 games and topping 36+ in 3 of those as well. The line for this one sees the Kings just -1 favorites, so we expect a close game throughout and hopefully a high-scoring one as well. Not to mention LaVine in his last matchup against Sacramento, scored 41 points on the night.
Jayson Tatum over 28.5 points (-120)
Last up we have the Boston Celtics (47-22) struggling form of late, with only 2 wins in their last 6, on the road to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (35-34) who have the exact opposite form of the Celtics as they’ve only lost 2 of their last 6. One of the more consistent performers for Boston has been star man Jayson Tatum, who’s averaged 29 points scored over his last 10 games. The Timberwolves rank 20th over the last 3 games for points allowed per game (118.7), and with the Celtics averaging 119.7 points per game in that same timeframe, expect Tatum to be busy tonight. The Celtics currently rank 5th in 3-point % (37.6%) and the Timberwolves rank 19th in 3-point attempts allowed per game (34.2), with Tatum averaging 11.6 3-pointers attempted over his last 5 games, we may see him go over his season average for 3’s (3.3). Minnesota also ranks last in total rebounds allowed per game in their last 3 (60), so expect Tatum to seek some offensive rebounds this evening to aid his scoring tonight.
I’m David, 28, originally from England but now married and living in Texas. Originally studied English Literature at Liverpool Hope University, alongside Sport & Education. Having been an avid sports fan my entire life, I had a season ticket at Everton FC in the EPL for 17 years. Since moving here I’ve become a Kansas City Chiefs fan after Kelce won me my Fantasy League on my first-ever try. Love watching the games whether it be college on Saturdays or the NFL throughout the week. You’ll always find me with a bet or two on as well. 1 leg losses are my Kryptonite.
