Best NBA Player Props 3/18
Another week of chasing some NBA player props is here. Last week was a rough one going 1-2. Coby White played against the new-look Dallas Mavericks. After struggling on defense all season, the Mavs decided to become the “Bad Boy” Pistons and started with Coby White. Brandon Miller seemed like he had 19 points for the longest and just couldn’t hit the 20-point mark. Luckily, Jamal Murray saved us from a 0-3 record.
There are eight games tonight, which offers a good amount of options. Hopefully, tonight is a smooth and easy night of props cashing out.
Bam Adebayo 10+ Rebounds (-240)
Bam Adebayo can be a frustrating player in the betting world at times. He can kind of coast at times and just simply not be aggressive enough for whatever prop you may bet on him that night. His rebounding might be the most hit-or-miss. There are games where Bam rebounds like a madman, while there are others where it looks like a point guard’s stat line.
Nonetheless, I believe Bam has a great matchup tonight and can easily snag 10 rebounds. The Miami Heat take on the Philadelphia 76ers, who are still missing their MVP, Joel Embiid. Their center position is slight and can allow some rebounds. In the last two months, the Sixers are bottom 10 in the league in rebounds allowed per game.
Bam has averaged 10.5 rebounds in his last 10 games. 10 rebounds is a safe number for Bam, in my opinion. The Sixers do not have the height to bother him on the glass since they are still missing Embiid, so there should be a fair share of chances for Bam to get to 10.
Domantas Sabonis 8+ Assists (-185)
Nikola Jokic is the best passing big man in the NBA, and maybe even in NBA history, but Domantas Sabonis is a great playmaking big man as well. Sabonis averages 8.3 assists per game, which is fifth in the entire league. He is the Kings’ primary playmaker in the halfcourt, which is why this is a great value play.
The Kings face a Memphis Grizzlies team that has just been decimated by injuries, despite the returns of Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane to the lineup. The Kings are the much better team but can be in for a closer fight than what was previously imagined. In two matchups against the Grizzlies, Sabonis is averaging 8.5 assists. In his last 10 games, Sabonis is just below 8 assists per game at 7.8.
The Kings are still fighting to not have to deal with the play-in, which means the Kings are in need to win these games. Expect full effort from Sabonis tonight and if the game is closer, then Sabonis should find his way to 8+ assists.
Draymond Green Under 7.5 Points (-120)
In March, the New York Knicks are allowing 90 points per game!!! Yes, 90 points per game in the year 2024. The Knicks are playing some rugged, slow-paced basketball. The NBA has noticeably gotten tougher over the past few weeks with fewer foul calls and a slower pace, as we get ready for the playoffs. That is the type of basketball Tom Thibodeau loves.
Not only are they allowing the least amount of points per game, but they have the slowest pace. The offense is not going to be the focal point of Knicks games for the rest of this season it looks like. That is going to hinder the chances of Draymond Green accumulating just 8 points.
Draymond has never been a scorer, but 8 points does not seem like a tall task. However, he has only reached that number 10 times in the last two months. In his last 10 games, he is averaging 7.3 points per game and finished with 7 the last time the Golden State Warriors faced the Knicks.
Draymond’s job on this Warriors team is to play defense, pass to shooters, and set screens. Scoring for Draymond might be the last thing he wants to do on the court. 8 points is scary to think about. That is just four layups or four putbacks even. However, the Knick’s defense is playing so tough that even the best scorers are struggling to get to their normal outputs. This is somewhat of a gamble, but I think the risk is worth the reward in this matchup.
Noel is from Philadelphia, PA. He went to West Chester University and graduated with a Bachelor’s degree in Communications in Media & Culture.
